Abstract
This chapter discusses the extra-regional trade performances of the MMEs in the context of the rise of the BICs. We show that trade deficits outside of the euro area have until recent years been almost as important as within the region. These negative external trade balances can be related to the very low export shares of the southern member states, especially vis-à-vis the BICs, which also assume a significant role in their external deficits. While labor costs have risen excessively in MMEs and this can be partly explained by the lack of coordinative wage-setting institutions, this has not been fully translated into loss of price competitiveness. The poor export performances of the MMEs and resulting high trade deficits should also be related to non-price competitiveness factors, more specifically their trade structures (poor export composition, quality and geographical orientation) rooted in skill-formation and innovation regimes. Because of these deficient export bases and underlying institutions, the southern euro area member states have been negatively affected by the appreciation of the euro that was reinforced by monetary policies of the BICs as well as by direct competition from the BICs in those products in which they held comparative advantages. After the crisis, Greece, Spain and Portugal have been able to spectacularly reduce their trade deficits. This has succeeded due to a combination of a reduction of intra-regional imports and increase in extra-regional exports. The rebalancing of unit labor costs (ULC) within the euro area cannot sufficiently explain the reduction of the MMEs trade deficits. Rather, the depreciation of the euro seems to have been the driver for the increase in extra-regional exports but should be considered a necessary but insufficient condition for a sustainable recovery.
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De Ville, F., Vermeiren, M. (2016). MMEs: Outcompeted by Low-Cost Economies. In: Rising Powers and Economic Crisis in the Euro Area. Global Reordering. Palgrave Pivot, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-51440-0_5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-51440-0_5
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