Abstract
Empirical modeling of trade reform options make clear that there is a great deal to be gained from liberalizing merchandise—and especially agricultural—trade. If it were done multilaterally under the World Trade Organization’s (WTO’s) Doha round, a disproportionately high share of that potential gain could go to developing countries (relative to their share of the global economy). Moreover, the poorest people in developing countries are most likely to gain from global trade liberalization, namely farmers and unskilled laborers in developing countries, provided developing countries did not demand Special and Differential Treatment (SDT). To realize that potential gain, it is in agriculture that the greatest cuts in bound tariffs and subsidies are required. However, the political sensitivity of farm support programs have made a Doha agreement elusive.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Aksoy, M.A., and J.C. Beghin (ed). 2004. Global Agricultural Trade and Developing Countries. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Anania, G., M.E. Bohman, C.A. Carter, and A.F. McCalla (ed). 2004. Agricultural Policy Reform and the WTO: Where Are We Heading? Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Anderson, K. 2016. Contributions of the GATT/WTO to Global Economic Welfare: Empirical Evidence. Journal of Economic Surveys 30(1): 56–92, February.
———. 2017. Sectoral Trends and Shocks in Australia’s Economic Growth. Australian Economic History Review (forthcoming).
Anderson, K., and T.E. Josling (ed). 2005. The WTO and Agriculture. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishers.
Anderson, K., and W. Martin (ed). 2006. Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda. New York and Washington, DC: Palgrave Macmillan and World Bank.
Anderson, K., and E. Valenzuela. 2007a. Do Global Trade Distortions Still Harm Developing Country Farmers? Review of World Economics 143(1): 108–139, April.
———. 2007b. The World Trade Organization’s Doha Cotton Initiative: A Tale of Two Issues. World Economy 30(8): 1281–1304.
Anderson, K., W. Martin, and E. Valenzuela. 2006a. The Relative Importance of Global Agricultural Subsidies and Market Access. World Trade Review 5(3): 357–376, November.
Anderson, K., W. Martin, and D. van der Mensbrugghe. 2006b. Market and Welfare Implications of Doha Reform Scenarios, Ch. 12. In Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda, ed. K. Anderson, and W. Martin. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
———. 2006c. Doha Merchandise Trade Reform: What is at Stake for Developing Countries? World Bank Economic Review 20(2): 169–195, July.
———. 2006d. Global Impact of the Doha Scenarios on Poverty, Ch. 17. In Poverty and the WTO: Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda, ed. T.W. Hertel, and L.A. Winters. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
———. 2006e. Would Multilateral Trade Reform Benefit Sub-Saharan Africa? Journal of African Economies 15(4): 626–670, December.
———. 2006f. Impact of Global Trade and Subsidy Policies on Developing Country Trade. Journal of World Trade 40(5): 945–968, October.
Bagwell, K., and R. Staiger. 2016. The Design of Trade Agreements. In Handbook of Commercial Policy, ed. K. Bagwell, and R. Staiger. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
Bagwell, K., C.P. Bown, and R.W. Staiger. 2016. Is the WTO Passe? Journal of Economic Literature (forthcoming).
Bouët, A., L. Fontagné, and S. Jean. 2006. Is Erosion of Preferences a Serious Concern? Ch. 6. In Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda, ed. K. Anderson, and W. Martin. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Bown, C.P. 2016. What’s Left for the WTO? In Handbook of Commercial Policy, ed. K. Bagwell, and R. Staiger. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
de Gorter, H., and E. Kliauga. 2006. Consequences of TRQ Expansions and In-quota Tariff Reductions, Ch. 5. In Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda, ed. K. Anderson, and W. Martin. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Dollar, D., and A. Kraay. 2004. Trade, Growth and Poverty. Economic Journal 114: F22–F49, February.
Finger, J.M., and P. Schuler. 2001. Implementation of Uruguay Round Commitments: The Development Challenge, Ch. 7. In Developing Countries and the WTO: A Pro-Active Agenda, ed. B. Hoekman, and W. Martin. Oxford: Blackwell.
Finger, J.M., and L.A. Winters. 2002. Reciprocity in the WTO, Ch. 7. In Development, Trade and the WTO: A Handbook, ed. B. Hoekman, A. Matoo, and P. English. Washington, DC: The World Bank.
Francois, J.F., and W. Martin. 2004. Commercial Policy, Bindings and Market Access. European Economic Review 48(3): 665–679, June.
Goldin, I., and O. Knudsen (ed). 1990. Agricultural Trade Liberalization: Implications for Developing Countries. Paris: OECD.
Grossman, G.M. 2016. The Purpose of Trade Agreements. In Handbook of Commercial Policy, ed. K. Bagwell, and R. Staiger. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
Hart, C.E., and J.C. Beghin. 2006. Rethinking Domestic Support Disciplines, Ch. 8. In Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda, ed. K. Anderson, and W. Martin. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Hathaway, D., and M. Ingco. 1996. Agricultural Liberalization and the Uruguay Round, Ch. 2. In The Uruguay Round and the Developing Countries, ed. W. Martin, and L.A. Winters. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press.
Hertel, T.W., and R. Keeney. 2006. What’s at Stake: The Relative Importance of Import Barriers, Export Subsidies and Domestic Support, Ch. 2. In Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda, ed. K. Anderson, and W. Martin. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Hertel, T.W., and L.A. Winters (ed). 2006. Poverty and the WTO: Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda. London and Washington, DC: Palgrave Macmillan and World Bank.
Hoekman, B., and P. Messerlin. 2006. Removing the Exception of Agricultural Export Subsidies, Ch. 7. In Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda, ed. K. Anderson, and W. Martin. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Hoekman, B., F. Ng, and M. Olarreaga. 2004. Agricultural Tariffs versus Subsidies: What’s More Important for Developing Countries? World Bank Economic Review 18(2): 175–204.
Hoekman, B., W. Martin, and C. Braga (ed). 2009. Trade Preference Erosion: Measurement and Policy Response. London: Palgrave-MacMillan (co-published with the World Bank).
Ingco, M.D., and J.D. Nash (ed). 2004. Agriculture and the WTO: Creating a Trading System for Development. Washington, DC and New York: World Bank and Oxford University Press.
Ingco, M.D., and L.A. Winters (ed). 2004. Agriculture and the New Trade Agenda: Creating a Global Trading Environment for Development. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press.
Jank, M.S. (ed). 2004. Agricultural Trade Liberalization: Policies and Implications for Latin America. Washington, DC: Inter-American Development Bank.
Jean, S., D. Laborde, and W. Martin. 2006. Consequences of Alternative Formulas for Agricultural Tariff Cuts, Ch. 4. In Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda, ed. K. Anderson, and W. Martin. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
———. 2011. Formulas and Flexibility in Trade Negotiations: Sensitive Agricultural Products in the World Trade Organization’s Doha Agenda. World Bank Economic Review 24(3): 500–519.
Josling, T. 2006. Consequences of Special and Differential Treatment for Developing Countries, Ch. 3. In Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda, ed. K. Anderson, and W. Martin. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Josling, T.E., S. Tangermann, and T.K. Warley. 1996. Agriculture in the GATT. London and New York: Macmillan and St. Martin’s Press.
Laborde, D., W. Martin, and D. van der Mensbrugghe. 2011. Potential Real Income Effects of Doha Reforms, Ch. 10. In Unfinished Business? The WTO’s Doha Agenda, ed. Martin W., and A. Mattoo. London and Washington, DC: Centre for Economic Policy Research and World Bank, November.
———. 2012. Implications of the Doha Market Access Proposals for Developing Countries. World Trade Review 11(1): 1–25, January.
Limão, N. 2016. Preferential Trade Agreements. In Handbook of Commercial Policy, ed. K. Bagwell, and R. Staiger. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
Limão, N., and M. Olarreaga. 2006. Trade Preferences to Small Developing Countries and the Welfare Costs of Lost Multilateral Liberalization. World Bank Economic Review 20(2): 217–240, June.
Martin, W., and L.A. Winters (ed). 1996. The Uruguay Round and the Developing Countries. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press.
Sumner, D.A. 2006. Reducing Cotton Subsidies: The DDA Cotton Initiative, Ch. 10. In Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda, ed. K. Anderson, and W. Martin. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Tyers, R., and K. Anderson. 1992. Disarray in World Food Markets: A Quantitative Assessment. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press.
van der Mensbrugghe, D. 2005. Linkage Technical Reference Document: Version 6.0. Washington, DC: World Bank, December. http://go.worldbank.org/7NP2KK1OH0
———. 2010. The Environmental Impact and Sustainability Applied General Equilibrium (ENVISAGE) Model. Washington, DC: World Bank. http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTPROSPECTS/Resources/3349341314986341738/Env7_1Jan10b.pdf
Winters, L.A. 2004. Trade Liberalization and Economic Performance: An Overview. Economic Journal 114: F4–F21, February.
Winters, L.A., N. McCulloch and A. McKay. 2004. Trade Liberalization and Poverty: The Empirical Evidence. Journal of Economic Literature 62(1): 72–115, March.
World Bank. 1986. World Development Report 1986. New York: Oxford University Press.
WTO. 2003. Negotiations on Agriculture: First Draft of Modalities for the Further Commitments. TN/AG/W/1/Rev.1. Geneva: World Trade Organization, 19 March (The Harbinson Draft).
———. 2004. Doha Work Programme: Decision Adopted by the General Council on 1 August 2004, WT/L/579. Geneva: World Trade Organization (The July Framework Agreement).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Copyright information
© 2016 The Author(s)
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Anderson, K. (2016). Prospective Effects of (or Requiem for?) WTO’s Doha Development Agenda. In: Agricultural Trade, Policy Reforms, and Global Food Security. Palgrave Studies in Agricultural Economics and Food Policy. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-46925-0_10
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-46925-0_10
Published:
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, New York
Print ISBN: 978-1-137-47168-0
Online ISBN: 978-1-137-46925-0
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)