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Reykjavik on the Thames

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The Icelandic Financial Crisis

Abstract

When Iceland separated from Denmark in 1918 and became a sovereign nation with an independent currency, the people were enthusiastically prepared for nationhood. The economic grounds for the separation were shakier. Iceland depended on a single export industry – fishing – and was thus at the mercy of global market fluctuations. For decades afterwards, the fishing sector remained the national breadwinner. It was a shielded if simple life, but it ended in about 1989 when the North Atlantic cod stock collapsed and the fishing sector teetered on bankruptcy. The economic reforms that followed transformed Iceland from one of the most secluded, state-controlled nations in Western Europe to one of the most liberal and open, and it took just over ten years. These reforms – focused on privatization and corporate tax cuts – reaped great rewards through the 1990s in terms of new growth and prosperity.

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Notes

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    Sherlock, R., Malnick, E. and Newell, C. (2016, May 26). Donald Trump signed off deal designed to deprive US of tens of millions of dollars in tax. The Telegraph. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/05/25/exclusive-donald-trump-signed-off-deal-designed-to-deprive-us-of/

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    Baldursson, Friðrik Már, & Portes, Richard. (2013). Gambling for resurrection in Iceland: the rise and fall of the banks. Available at SSRN 2361098.

  3. 3.

    Bjorgolfsson, Thor. (2014). Billions to Bust and Back: How I made, lost and rebuilt a fortune, and what I learned on the way. London: Profile Books Ltd.

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    Special Investigation Commission. (2010). Report of the Special Investigation Commission.

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    Jännäri, Kaarlo. (2009, March 30). Report on Banking Regulation and Supervision in Iceland: past, present and future.

  6. 6.

    See: Jónsson, Ásgeir. (2009). Why Iceland?: How One of the World's Smallest Countries Became the Meltdown's Biggest Casualty. McGraw Hill Professional.

  7. 7.

    Peston’s Picks: Banks ask chancellor for capital. (2008, October 7). BBC website. http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/robertpeston/2008/10/banks_ask_chancellor_for_capit.html.

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    Does this BBC man have too much power? Reporter blamed for helping trigger shares fall. (2008, October 8). Mail Online. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1072549/BBC-reporter-Robert-Peston-blamed-helping-trigger-shares-fall.html#ixzz434xWkFkk

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    RBS investigation: Chapter 4: the bail-out. (2011, December 11). The Telegraph. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/8947559/RBS-investigation-Chapter-4-the-bail-out.html See also: Alistair Darling. (2013, February 4). A crisis needs a firewall not a ringfence. Financial Times. http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/3d164732-6ec7-11e2-9ded-00144feab49a.html#axzz4311ZfvHa

  10. 10.

    Extra help for Icesave customers. (2008, October 8). BBC News. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7658417.stm.

  11. 11.

    For a full transcript of the conversation see: The Darling-Mathiesen Conversation before Britain Used the Anti-Terrorism Legislation against Iceland. (2008, October 23). Iceland Review. http://icelandreview.com/news/2008/10/23/darling-mathiesen-conversation-britain-used-anti-terrorism-legislation-against

  12. 12.

    As reported in the Financial Times at the time: “At no point does the Icelandic finance minister state unequivocally that Iceland would not honour its obligations.” Transcript challenges UK position on Iceland. (2008, October 23). Financial Times online. http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/42c0e23c-a153-11dd-82fd-000077b07658.html#axzz43RRr58yd

  13. 13.

    UK to sue Iceland over any lost bank savings. (2008, October 16). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2008/oct/08/iceland.banking

  14. 14.

    Her Majesty’s Treasury. (2008, October 8). The Landsbanki Freezing Order 2008. (Statutory Instruments 2008 No. 2668. http://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2008/2668/pdfs/uksi_20082668_en.pdf

  15. 15.

    Special Investigation Commission. (2010). Report of the Special Investigation Commission. Vol. 7. Chapter 20 p. 154.

  16. 16.

    Treasury officials head to Iceland to resolve banking crisis. (2008, October 10). The Guardian Online. http://www.theguardian.com/business/2008/oct/10/banking-creditcrunch

  17. 17.

    The Central Bank of Iceland. (2009, October 26). Fjármálastöðugleiki (Financial Stability). http://www.cb.is/library/Skraarsafn—EN/Financial-Stability-Report/2009/2009%20enska.pdf

  18. 18.

    Ministry of Finance. (2011, August 25). Skýrsla fjármálaráðherra um mat á áhrifum af beitingu Breta á lögum um varnir gegn hryðjuverkum, glæpum og um öryggi fyrir íslensk fyrirtæki, samkvæmt beiðni. (Report of the minister of finance on the impact of the application of the British Anti-terrorism, Crime and Security Act on Icelandic companies, as requested). https://www.fjarmalaraduneyti.is/media/utgafa/Skyrsla_fmrh_ahrif_hvl.pdf

  19. 19.

    Ibid.

  20. 20.

    Her Majesty’s Treasury. (2008, October 17). The Landsbanki Freezing Order 2008. (Financial Sanctions Notice). http://www.mbl.is/media/24/1024.pdf

  21. 21.

    Lehman Brothers collapse, five years on: ‘We had almost no control’. (2013, September 13). The Guardian Online. http://www.theguardian.com/business/2013/sep/13/lehman-brothers-collapse-five-years-later-shiver-spine

  22. 22.

    Clive Maxwell. (2009, February 11). Landsbanki Freezing Order 2008. https://www.forsaetisraduneyti.is/media/island/frettir/42.pdf

  23. 23.

    Brogger, Tasneem. (2008, October 3). Iceland Says to Announce Rescue Plan ‘Very Soon’. Bloomberg.

  24. 24.

    Baldursson, F. M., & Portes, R. (2013, September). Gambling for resurrection in Iceland: the rise and fall of the banks. Available at SSRN 2361098.

  25. 25.

    International Monetary Fund. (2008, October 24). IMF Announces Staff Level Agreement with Iceland on US$2.1 Billion Loan. (Press Release No. 08/256). https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2008/pr08256.htm

  26. 26.

    MacFarquhar, Neil. (2008, October 11). A U.N. Charm Offensive Topped Off by Dessert. The New York Times. http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/12/world/12nations.html. Ministry of Foreign Affairs. (2009, August 8). Skýrsla um framboð Íslands og kosningabaráttu til sætis í öryggisráði Sameinuðu þjóðanna 2009–2010. (Report on Iceland’s candidacy and campaign for a seat in the United Nations Security Council 2009–2010.) https://www.utanrikisraduneyti.is/media/PDF/Lokaskyrsla_um_oryggisradsframbodid_2008.PDF

  27. 27.

    Parliamentary Committee on Foreign Affairs. (2008, December 5). Nefndarálit um tillögu til þingsályktunar um samninga varðandi ábyrgð ríkissjóðs á innstæðutryggingum vegna innstæðna í útibúum íslenskra viðskiptabanka á Evrópska efnahagssvæðinu. (Committee report on a parliamentary resolution on contracts for government guarantees of deposit insurance for deposits in branches of Icelandic commercial banks in the European Economic Area.).

  28. 28.

    Iceland turns to European Commission for funds. (2008, November 10). Reuters. http://www.reuters.com/article/eu-iceland-idUSBRU00697220081110

  29. 29.

    Iceland close to reaching compensation deal for UK Icesave customers. (2008, November 14). The Telegraph online version. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/iceland/3460807/Iceland-close-to-reaching-compensation-deal-for-UK-Icesave-customers.html

  30. 30.

    Prime Minister’s Office. (2008, November 16). Agreed Guidelines Reached on Deposit Guarantees. (Press release.) https://eng.forsaetisraduneyti.is/news-and-articles/nr/3229

  31. 31.

    International Monetary Fund. (2008, November 19). IMF Executive Board Approves US$2.1 Billion Stand-By Arrangement for Iceland. (Press Release No.08/296) https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2008/pr08296.htm

  32. 32.

    Alistair Darling interview: Britain was two hours away from total social collapse – Former Chancellor on the crisis that erupted FIVE years ago this week. (2013, September 7). This is Money. http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/news/article-2415003/ALISTAIR-DARLING-INTERVIEW-Britain-hours-away-total-social-collapse--Former-Chancellor-crisis-erupted-FIVE-years-ago-week.html#ixzz4351QimLm

  33. 33.

    This is highlighted by the influential article Diamond DW, Dybvig PH (1983). Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity. Journal of Political Economy, 91(3): 401–419.

  34. 34.

    Glitnir (2008). Condensed Consolidated Interim Financial Statements. 30 June 2008.

  35. 35.

    Krugman, Paul (2008, September 30). The $850 billion bailout. The New York Times Opinion Pages. http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/09/30/the-850-billion-bailout/

  36. 36.

    Her Majesty’s Government. (2013, May). Scotland analysis: Financial services and banking. https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/200491/scotland_analysis_financial_services_and_banking_200513.pdf

  37. 37.

    For an overview see: National Audit Office (2010, December 15). Maintaining the financial stability of UK banks: update on the support schemes. (Report by the comptroller and auditor general, HC 676, Session 2010–2011). https://www.nao.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/1011676.pdf

  38. 38.

    Krugman, Paul. (2008, October 12). Gordon Does Good. The New York Times Opinion Pages. http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/opinion/13krugman.html?_r=0

  39. 39.

    The riddle of Gordon Brown. (2008, October 16). The Economist Online. http://www.economist.com/node/12427804

  40. 40.

    Gordon Brown mocked over ‘save the world’ slip-up in Commons. (2008, December 10). The Telegraph Online. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/3701712/Gordon-Brown-mocked-over-save-the-world-slip-up-in-Commons.html

  41. 41.

    According to new banks’ initial balance sheets, published at the end of 2009 and the beginning of 2010, their total assets amounted to about €14 billion (ISK 2100 billion), as compared with the old banks’ consolidated assets of €96 billion (ISK 14,400 billion) as of mid-2008.

  42. 42.

    This statement was never enshrined in law.

  43. 43.

    Domestic deposits totalled €9.6 billion (ISK 1438 billion), and the recoveries of the failed banks’ estates average about 49 %. General creditors therefore compensated domestic depositors in the amount of about 51 % of total deposits. The banks’ parent companies’ foreign loans amounted to the equivalent of some €9.5 billion (ISK 1421 billion).

  44. 44.

    The Central Bank of Iceland (2010, September 19). FIH to be sold to a consortium of ATP, PFA, Folksam and CPDyvig. (Press release No. 26/2010). http://www.cb.is/publications/news/news/2010/09/19/FIH-to-be-sold-to-a-consortium-of-ATP--PFA--Folksam-and-CPDyvig-/.

  45. 45.

    Thorsteinsson, Vidar. (2016). Iceland’s Revolution. The Jacobin magazine, 20. https://www.jacobinmag.com/2016/03/iceland-banking-finance-icesave-left-greens/

  46. 46.

    The Independence Party (2011, November 20). Drög að stjórnmálaályktun 40. landsfundar Sjálfstæðisflokksins. (Draft political resolution of the 40th national convention of the Independence Party.) http://www.xd.is/media/xd/landsfundur-2011/Stjornmalaalyktun-loka.pdf

  47. 47.

    See Bruce Yandle, “Rahm’s Rule of Crisis Management: A Footnote to the Theory of Regulation”, February 11, 2013, The Foundation for Economic Education. http://fee.org/articles/rahms-rule-of-crisis-management-a-footnote-to-the-theory-of-regulation/#axzz2KizozPJ4

  48. 48.

    Shakespeare, William. (1623). The Tragedy of Macbeth. Act 5, Scene 5.

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Jónsson, Á., Sigurgeirsson, H. (2016). Reykjavik on the Thames. In: The Icelandic Financial Crisis. Palgrave Macmillan Studies in Banking and Financial Institutions. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-39455-2_3

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