Abstract
The modern theory of non-linear dynamical systems [chaos] has certainly taught us a salutary lesson about unpredictability in classical physics. It is less obvious what it should have taught us about determinism. While many regard deterministic metaphysics as triumphantly vindicated, Popper (1982), for example, sees its only real support pushed unceremoniously aside. It is the burden of this paper to outline this problem (section 1); to challenge both the usual connection between determinism and predictability and the relevance of the argument leading from deterministic chaos to determinism (section 2); and finally to suggest that, for those who see prediction as an essentially probabilistic enterprise, unpredictability may promise an even more severe headache than is currently envisaged (section 3). It is only fair to say in advance, perhaps, that I am an indeterminist. This seems once more to be an unfashionable position, but I hope that it is still a sustainable one.
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Breuer, Th. (1995): The Impossibility of Accurate State Self-Measurements. Philosophy of Science 62, 197–214
Earman, J. (1986): A Primer on Determinism. The University of Western Ontario Series in Philosophy of Science, volume 32 (D. Reidel Publishing Company [now Kluwer Academic Publishers], Dordrecht)
Hunt, G. M. K. (1987): Determinism, Predictability & Chaos. Analysis 47, 129–133
Miller, D. (1994): Critical Rationalism. A Restatement & Defence. (Open Court Publishing Company, Chicago & La Salle)
Miller, D. (1995): Propensities & Indeterminism. Anthony O'Hear, editor, The Work of Karl Popper, Royal Institute of Philosophy Lectures (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, forthcoming), 113–139
Popper, K. R. (1950): Indeterminism in Quantum Physics & in Classical Physics. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 1, 117–133, 173–195
Popper, K. R. (1957): The Poverty of Historicism (Routledge & Kegan Paul [now Routledge], London)
Popper, K. R. (1974): Replies to My Critics, 961–1197 of Schilpp (1974)
Popper, K. R. (1976): Unended Quest (Fonata, London 1976 [new edition, Routledge, London 1993]); originally Intellectual Autobiography, 3–181 of Schilpp (1974)
Popper, K. R. (1982): The Open Universe. An Argument for Indeterminism, Volume ii of The Postscript (Hutchinson, London [now published by Routledge, London])
Popper, K. R. (1983): Realism & the Aim of Science, Volume i of The Postscript (Hutchinson, London [now published by Routledge, London])
Popper, K. R., Eccles, J. C. (1977): The Self & Its Brain (Springer International, Berlin [now published by Routledge, London])
Schilpp, P. A., editor (1974): The Philosophy of Karl Popper (Open Court Publishing Company, La Salle)
Watkins, J. W. N. (1974): The Unity of Popper's Thought, 317–412 of Schilpp (1974)
Watkins, J. W. N. (1984): Science & Scepticism (Hutchinson, London)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1996 Springer-Verlag 0142 V 2
About this paper
Cite this paper
Miller, D. (1996). The status of determinism in an uncontrollable world. In: Weingartner, P., Schurz, G. (eds) Law and Prediction in the Light of Chaos Research. Lecture Notes in Physics, vol 473. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0101872
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0101872
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-61584-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-70693-9
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive