Abstract
This chapter gives a summary of the full text and some future research prospects. In the summary section, the formation mechanisms of the MME TPSW pattern, the cloud radiation feedback and the large-scale ocean dynamics as two leading sources of inter-model uncertainty in the TPSW pattern, and the corrections for the MME TPSW pattern based on the “observational constraint” are highlighted. In the prospect section, several issues left in this monograph, as well as some studies to be carried out on the basis of this book, are briefly mentioned.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Cai W et al (2019) Pantropical climate interactions. Science 363 (eaav4236). http://doi.org/10.1126/science.aav4236
DiNezio PN, Clement AC, Vecchi GA, Soden BJ, Kirtman BP, Lee S-K (2009) Climate response of the equatorial pacific to global warming. J Clim 22:4873–4892. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli2982.1
Hawkins E, Sutton R (2009) The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bull Am Meteor Soc 90:1095–1107. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1
Kohyama T, Hartmann DL, Battisti DS (2017) La Niña-like mean-state response to global warming and potential oceanic roles. J Clim 30:4207–4225. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0441.1
Li G, Xie S-P, Du Y, Luo Y (2016) Effects of excessive equatorial cold tongue bias on the projections of tropical Pacific climate change. Part I: the warming pattern in CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Clim Dyn 47:1–15. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3043-5
Stevenson SL (2012) Significant changes to ENSO strength and impacts in the twenty-first century: results from CMIP5. Geophys Res Lett 39:L17703. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl052759
Sun D-Z, Zhang T, Sun Y, Yu Y (2014) Rectification of El Niño-Southern oscillation into climate anomalies of decadal and longer time scales: results from forced ocean GCM experiments. J Clim 27:2545–2561. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00390.1
Watanabe M, Kug J-S, Jin F-F, Collins M, Ohba M, Wittenberg AT (2012) Uncertainty in the ENSO amplitude change from the past to the future. Geophys Res Lett 39:L20703. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL053305
Ying J, Huang P, Lian T, Tan H (2019) Understanding the effect of an excessive cold tongue bias on projecting the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern in CMIP5 models. Clim Dyn 52:1805–1818. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4219-y
Ying J, Huang P, Lian T, Chen D (2019) Intermodel uncertainty in the change of ENSO’s amplitude under global warming: role of the response of atmospheric circulation to SST anomalies. J Clim 32:369–383. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0456.1
Zheng X-T, Xie S-P, Lv L-H, Zhou Z-Q (2016) Intermodel uncertainty in ENSO amplitude change tied to pacific ocean warming pattern. J Clim 29:7265–7279. http://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0039.1
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Ying, J. (2020). Summary and Prospects. In: Sources of Uncertainty in the Tropical Pacific Warming Pattern under Global Warming Projected by Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models. Springer Theses. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-32-9844-6_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-32-9844-6_6
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-32-9843-9
Online ISBN: 978-981-32-9844-6
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)