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Economic Vulnerability and Possible Adaptation to Coastal Erosion in San Fernando City, Philippines

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Abstract

Coastal erosion or shoreline retreat, resulting from natural and human activities, is currently affecting many Philippine coastal areas. This research evaluates the adaptation strategies of planned protection (i.e., construction of bulkheads and revetments complemented by bioengineering measures) and relocation relative to the business-as-usual strategy (the construction of bulkheads) in San Fernando Bay in La Union, Philippines. Study results show that about 300 structures, 283,085 m2 of land, and 123,033 m2 of beach along San Fernando Bay will be lost to coastal erosion/shoreline retreat by the year 2100. Planned protection, which is a combination of hard and soft measures, yields the highest net present value (NPV) of about Php 148.63 million under the assumption that beaches are not resilient (Scenario A) and about Php 126.78 million under the assumption that beaches are resilient (Scenario B), at a discount rate of 6 %. This strategy is supported by both the government and the locality. The key issue is where to get the funding to support the project.

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Correspondence to Jaimie Kim B. Arias .

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Arias, J.K.B., Dorado, M.A., Dorado, R. (2015). Economic Vulnerability and Possible Adaptation to Coastal Erosion in San Fernando City, Philippines . In: James, D., Francisco, H. (eds) Cost-Benefit Studies of Natural Resource Management in Southeast Asia. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-287-393-4_15

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