Accessing the Influences of Weather and Environment Factors on Traffic Speed of Freeway

  • Danni Cao
  • Jianjun WuEmail author
  • Ziling Zeng
Conference paper
Part of the Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies book series (SIST, volume 185)


Traffic speed has been traditionally used as a measure of traffic performance. Predicting the traffic speed is fundamental for efficient traffic management and control strategy. This study explores the influences of freeway attributes, weather, and air condition on traffic speed. A quantitative model is also introduced to predict the traffic speed as per the identified influencing factors. Empirical data of traffic flow and potential influencing factors are collected from multiple sources for analysis and model calibration. The principal component analysis is firstly conducted to select the significant variables influencing the traffic speed. Afterward, a multiple linear regression model is calibrated to quantitatively model the impacts of different factors and investigate their weights. The results show that the attributes of freeway, the humidity of the area, the temperature, the horizontal visibility, the station maker, the air quality, and the PM quality have influences on the traffic speed. Among all of the variables, the weight of the existence of toll station is highest, indicating the largest influence on the traffic speed.


Traffic speed Freeway Variables selection Model regression 


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Copyright information

© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2020

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.State Key Laboratory of Rail Traffic Control and SafetyBeijing Jiaotong UniversityBeijingChina
  2. 2.Architecture and Civil EngineeringChalmers University of TechnologyGoteborgSweden

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