Skip to main content

Lake Chini Water Level Prediction Model using Classification Techniques

  • Conference paper
Computational Science and Technology

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering ((LNEE,volume 603))

Abstract

Monsoon seasons in Malaysia bring uneven distribution of rainfall and eventually affect the water level at Lake Chini as flood and drought disturb the population and distribution of aquatic organisms at the lake. This study is conducted to produce Lake Chini water level prediction model by comparing several algorithms using data mining approach via classification techniques. Data from seven observation stations between 2011 and 2014 are collected from Pusat Penyelidikan Tasik Chini, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia and data from Melai station in particular is used for this purpose. The collected time series data is complex and high in dimensionality thus leading to low efficiency in data mining process. The analysis comprises of four phases that include data collection, data pre-processing, data mining and model development and interpretation and evaluation of patterns. To overcome high dimensional time series, dimensionality reduction approach such as Piecewise Aggregate Approximation (PAA) and Symbolic Aggregate approXimation (SAX) are applied while three classification techniques namely Decision Tree, Artificial Neural Network and Support Vector Machine are used to classify the data. Performance measures for each of the algorithms are evaluated and compared to select the most suitable model for the prediction.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 249.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Das, J., Acharya, B. C.: Hydrology and Assessment of Lotic Water Quality in Cuttack City, India. Journal Water, Air and Soil Pollution 150, 163–175 (2003).

    Google Scholar 

  2. Shuhaimi Othman, M., Lim Eng Chong, Mushrifah Idris & Shaharudin Idrus.: Kualiti Air Dan Logam Berat di Tasik Chini, Pahang. Prosiding Seminar IRPA RMK8, Kategori EAR (2), 216-220 (2005).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Nurul Syazwani Ab Rani, Mohd Ekhwan Hj Toriman, Mushrifah Hj Idris, Nor Rohaizah Jamil & Mohd Khairul Amri Kamarudin.: Muatan Sedimen Terampai dan Perkaitannya dengan Penghasilan Muatan Sedimen pada Musim Kering dan Hujan di Tasik Chini, Pahang. Bangi: eBangi. 4(1), 70-83 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Muhd Barzani Gasim, Mohd. Ekhwan Hj. Toriman, Ahmad Abas, Mir Sujaul Islam & Tan Choon Chek.: Water Quality of Several Feeder Rivers between Two Seasons in Tasik Chini, Pahang (Kualiti Air di antara Dua Musim Beberapa Sungai Pembekal di Tasik Chini, Pahang). Bangi: Sains Malaysiana 37(4), 313–321 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Nor Rohaizah Jamil, Mohd Ekhwan Toriman, Mushrifah Idris, Ng Lee How.: Analisis ciri-ciri luahan Sungai Chini dan Sungai Paya Merapuh Tasik Chini, Pahang bagi waktu normal, waktu basah dan selepas banjir. Jurnal Sains Sosial dan Kemanusiaan 7(1), 1-16 (2012).

    Google Scholar 

  6. Raicharoen, T., Lursinsap, C., Sanguanbhoki, P. 2003. Application of critical support vector machine to time series prediction, Circuits and Systems. Proceedings of the 2003 International Symposium 5(25-28): 741-744.

    Google Scholar 

  7. Ratnadip, A. & Agrawal, R. K.: An Introductory Study on Time Series Modeling and Forecasting. LAP Lambert Academic Publishing, Germany (2013).

    Google Scholar 

  8. Lin, J., Eamonn, K., Stefano, L. and Chiu, B.: A Symbolic Representation of Time Series, with Implications for Streaming Algorithms. Proceedings of the 8th ACM SIGMOD Workshop on Research Issues in Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery (2003).

    Google Scholar 

  9. Wang Xiaoyue, Hui Ding, Goce Trajcevski, Peter Scheuermann, Eamonn Keogh.: Experimental Comparison of Representation Methods and Distance Measures for Time Series Data. Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery 26(2), 275-309 (2013).

    Google Scholar 

  10. E. Keogh, K. Chakrabarti, M. Pazzani, and S. Mehrotra. Dimensionality Reduction for Fast Similarity Search in Large Time Series Databases. Journal of Knowledge and Information Systems. vol. 3. pp. 263-286 (2001).

    Google Scholar 

  11. Rao S. G..: Artificial Neural Networks in Hydrology. I: Preliminary Concepts. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 5(2), (2000).

    Google Scholar 

  12. Abdusselam, A.: Forecasting Surface Water Level Fluctuations of Lake Van by Artificial Neural Networks. Water Resources Management 21(2). 399-408 (2007).

    Google Scholar 

  13. Siti Hajar Arbain, Antoni Wibowo: Time Series Methods for Water Level Forecasting of Dungun River In Terengganu Malaysia. International Journal of Engineering Science and Technology 4(4), 1803-1811 (2012).

    Google Scholar 

  14. Shilpi Rani & Dr. Falguni Parekh.: Application of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for Reservoir Water Level Forecasting. International Journal of Science and Research 3(7) (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  15. Young, Chih-Chieh & Liu, W.-C & Hsieh, W.-L.: Predicting the Water Level Fluctuation in an Alpine Lake Using Physically Based, Artificial Neural Network, and Time Series Forecasting Models. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  16. Wang, W. C., Chau, K. W., Cheng, C. T. & Qiu, L.: A comparison of performance of several artificial intelligence methods for forecasting monthly discharge time series. Journal of Hydrology 374: 294–306 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  17. Cimen, M. & Kisi, O.: Comparison of two different data-driven techniques in modeling lake level fluctuations in Turkey. Journal of Hydrology (378), 253-262 (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  18. Mohsen, B., Keyvan A., Emery A. Coppola Jr.: Comparative Study of SVMs and ANNs in Aquifer Water Level Prediction. Journal of Computing in Civil Engineering 24(5) (2009).

    Google Scholar 

  19. Karran, Daniel & Morin, Efrat & Adamowski, Jan.: Multi-step streamflow forecasting using data-driven non-linear methods in contrasting climate regimes. Journal of Hydroinformatics 16. 671-689 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  20. Rokach, L. & Maimon O.: Data Mining with Decision Trees: Theory and Applications. World Scientific Publishing Co., New Jersey (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Zulaiha Ali Othman, Noraini Ismail, Abdul Razak Hamdan, Mahmoud AhmedSammour: Klang Vally Rainfall Forecasting Model Using Time Series Data Mining Technique. Journal of Theoretical and Applied Information Technology 92(2), pp. 372-379 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgment

This research is conducted with the support of Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia Grant GGP-2017-025 and Pusat Penyelidikan Tasik Chini.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zalinda Othman .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Cite this paper

Hin, L.Z., Othman, Z. (2020). Lake Chini Water Level Prediction Model using Classification Techniques. In: Alfred, R., Lim, Y., Haviluddin, H., On, C. (eds) Computational Science and Technology. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 603. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-0058-9_21

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-0058-9_21

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore

  • Print ISBN: 978-981-15-0057-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-981-15-0058-9

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics