Abstract
We describe the challenges in the coming decade in global numerical weather prediction and in the tropics in particular. The ECMWF forecasting system is our benchmark. These challenges comprise four main areas of developments: making optimal use of the available observational data to obtain the best analysis, advanced ensemble methods to predict the uncertainties in the analyses and forecasts, model developments to better represent shallow and deep convection and associated circulations and finally necessary advances in computational efficiency called scalability.
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Bechtold, P. (2019). Challenges in Tropical Numerical Weather Prediction at ECMWF. In: Randall, D., Srinivasan, J., Nanjundiah, R., Mukhopadhyay, . (eds) Current Trends in the Representation of Physical Processes in Weather and Climate Models. Springer Atmospheric Sciences. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-3396-5_2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-3396-5_2
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