Abstract
The Great East Japan Earthquake and the subsequent tsunami on March 11, 2011, were a wake-up call for Japan’s enormous earthquake risk and the need for appropriate measures to mitigate disasters. We use unique survey data collected after the earthquake to examine how consumers reacted to this catastrophic event. We find that self-reported, perceived preparedness for natural disasters has significantly improved even among low-income households after March 11, but that post-quake intentions for more specific risk mitigation activities were systematically associated with household income and wealth levels. High-income households are more likely to plan the purchase of earthquake insurance or to conduct seismic retrofitting following the March 11 earthquake, indicating that the recent events might have widened the gap in disaster preparedness between rich and poor. Obviously, earthquake insurance is one of the most effective measures for mitigating earthquake losses. Nonetheless, despite increased disaster awareness and preparedness following the March 11, 2011 earthquake, the proportion of Japanese households covered by earthquake insurance is still low. We aim to reveal the reasons deterring people from purchasing earthquake insurance. Moreover, our dataset has enabled us to analyze the post-quake attitudes by households that have not taken out earthquake insurance. Our empirical results suggest that typical homeowners would like to purchase insurance in response to the recent earthquake. However, we have also found these post-quake responses to be heterogeneous. That is, households with substantial home equity are more likely to be dissatisfied with the current earthquake insurance system and are therefore reluctant to purchase new insurance. The current Japanese earthquake insurance system restricts the amount of insurance benefits and imposes expensive insurance premiums on consumers who require high compensation. These limitations apparently prevent homeowners from purchasing earthquake insurance.
This chapter is the combined adaptation from Ishino et al. (2012a), presented at the 2012 Asian Real Estate Society annual meeting, Ishino et al. (2012b), Keio University Press and Naoi et al. (2012), Taylor and Francis.
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- 1.
Household risks in Japan are all reinsured by the Japanese Earthquake Reinsurance Company (JER), where losses are shared by the insurers, the JER, and the government, according to the total cost of damages. This reinsurance scheme offered by the government thus serves as an effective subsidy to private insurance companies.
- 2.
Insurance premiums also vary according to the structure and the construction method of the dwelling.
- 3.
We used the probability of an earthquake above level 6+ on the JMA seismic intensity scale. See Naoi et al. (2009) for details about this variable.
- 4.
We also estimated the model including those households already insured or who seismic retrofitted their home prior to the earthquake, controlling for selectivity bias. Since the results are not qualitatively changed, we omit these results from the analysis. Furthermore, since insurance purchase and seismic retrofitting are clearly associated with homeownership, we also estimated the model based only on homeowners. The results, again, are not qualitatively different.
- 5.
Also because their house was damaged and in need of repair, it would make sense for them to report that any repairs would constitute retrofitting.
- 6.
The financial asset effect is U-shaped, reaching a minimum at about 89 million yen. Households that possess financial assets over 89 million yen total merely 1%.
- 7.
We used the occurrence probability of earthquakes with ground motions equal to or larger than JMA seismic intensity 6− in this section.
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Seko, M. (2019). Perceived Preparedness and Attitude of Japanese Households Toward Risk Mitigation Activities Following the Great East Japan Earthquake: Earthquake Insurance Purchase and Seismic Retrofitting. In: Housing Markets and Household Behavior in Japan. Advances in Japanese Business and Economics, vol 19. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-3369-9_12
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-3369-9_12
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