Abstract
Bangladesh has entered the window of population dividend opportunities from 1991 onward as the dependency ratio decreased. However, the expressed time of the window of opportunities is not bolstered by observational confirmation. The absence of certain proof on the period and extent of the demographic dividend is a gap which policy-makers must address when setting needs for human resource and capital investment to gather the economic advantages of the demographic move. Applying the methodology of National Transfer Account (NTA), this study is an endeavor to fill this gap by indicating so as to evaluate the demographic benefit for Bangladesh. Therefore, the objective of the paper is to evaluate the first demographic dividend in Bangladesh and to explore the conditions to appreciate it.
This chapter contains excerpts from the authors’ previous publication as an op-ed in a newsletter (see: http://sanemnet.org/sanemafeefcontainer/uploads/2016/01/Thinking-Aloud_VII_N8.pdf).
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
According to HIES 2010, head count poverty rates among households with children (age 0–18) has found to be 1.7% points higher than the national average of 31.5%. On the other hand, head count poverty rate among households with elderly (age 60+) has found to be 3.3% points lower than the national average (Khondker 2014).
References
Bloom, D., & Canning, D. (2004). Global Demographic Change: Dimensions and Economic Significance. NBER (Working Paper No. 10817). NBER.
Bloom, D., Canning, D., & Malaney, P. (2000). Demographic change and economic growth in Asia. Population and Development Review, 26.
Chowdhury, A. K., & Curlin, G. T. (1978, Jan). Recent trends in fertility and mortality in rural Bangladesh 1966–1975 (Working paper No. 03), Cholera Research Laboratory, Dhaka: ICDDRB.
Curlin, G. T., Chen, L. C., & Hussain, S. B. (1976). Demographic crisis: The impact of the Bangladesh Civil War (1971) on births and deaths in a rural area of Bangladesh. Population Studies: A Journal of Demography, 30(1).
Fry, M., & Mason, A. (1982). The variable rate of growth effect in the life-cycle model. Economic Enquiry, 20.
Higgins, M. (1998). Demography, national savings, and international capital flows. International Economic Review, 39.
Kelley, A., & Schmidt, R. (1996). Saving, dependency, and development. Journal of Population Economic, 9.
Khondker, B. H. (2014). Poverty, Vulnerability and Inequality in Bangladesh. Dhaka: Paper 01, NSPS Background Paper Series, Ministry of Planning, Government of Bangladesh.
Mason, A. (2001). Population Change and Economic Development in East Asia: Challenges Met, Opportunities Seized. California: Stanford University Press.
Mason, A., & Lee, R. (2006). Reform and support systems for the elderly in developing countries: Capturing the second demographic dividend. Genus LXII(2), 11–35.
Person, J. (2002). Demographics, Human Capital, and Economic Growth: A Study of US States 1930-2000. FIEF working paper.
Rajan, R., & Subramanian, A. (2008). Aid and growth: what does the cross country evidence really show? Review of Economics and Statistics, 90(4), 643–665.
World Bank. (2016). Global Monitoring Report 2015/2016—Development Goals in an Era of Demographic Change. Washington DC: The World Bank.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Khondker, B.H., Rahman, M.M. (2018). Some Estimates of First Demographic Dividend in Bangladesh: An Application of the Bangladesh National Transfer Account. In: Raihan, S. (eds) Structural Change and Dynamics of Labor Markets in Bangladesh. South Asia Economic and Policy Studies. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-2071-2_7
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-2071-2_7
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-13-2070-5
Online ISBN: 978-981-13-2071-2
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)