Skip to main content

Accelerating MCMC Using Model Reduction for the Estimation of Boundary Properties Within Bayesian Framework

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Numerical Heat Transfer and Fluid Flow

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering ((LNME))

  • 1946 Accesses

Abstract

In this work, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Approximation Error Model (AEM) are proposed as model reduction methods for the simultaneous estimation of the convective heat transfer coefficient and the heat flux from a mild steel fin subject to natural convection heat transfer. The complete model comprises of a three-dimensional conjugate heat transfer from fin whereas the reduced model is simplified to a pure conduction model. On the other hand, the complete model is then replaced with ANN model that acts as a fast forward model. The modeling error that arises due to reduced model is statistically compensated using Approximation Error Model. The estimation of the unknown parameters is then accomplished using the Bayesian framework with Gaussian prior. The sampling space for both the parameters is successfully explored based on Markov chain Monte Carlo method. In addition, the convergence of the Markov chain is ensured using Metropolis–Hastings algorithm. Simulated measurements are used to demonstrate the proposed concept for proving the robustness; finally, the measured temperatures based on in-house experimental setup are then used in the inverse estimation of the heat flux and the heat transfer coefficient for the purpose of validation.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Beck, J.V., Blackwell, B., Clair, C.S.: Inverse Heat Conduction: Ill-Posed Problems. Wiley, New York (1985)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  2. Ozisik, M.N., Orlande, H.R.B.: Inverse Heat Transfer: Fundamentals and Applications. Taylor and Francis, New York (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Kaipio, J.P., Fox, C.: The Bayesian framework for inverse problems in heat transfer. Heat Transf. Eng. 32(9) 718–751 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Gnanasekaran, N., Balaji, C.: A Bayesian approach for the simultaneous estimation of surface heat transfer coefficient and thermal conductivity from steady state experiments on fins. Int. J. Heat Mass Transf. 54, 3060–3068 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Gnanasekaran, N., Balaji, C.: Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach for the determination of thermal diffusivity using transient fin heat transfer experiments. Int. J. Therm. Sci. 63, 46–54 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Wang, J., Zabaras, N.: A Bayesian inference approach to the inverse heat conduction problem. Int. J. Heat Mass Transf. 47, 3927–3941 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Wang, J., Zabaras, N.: Hierarchical Bayesian models in heat conduction. Inverse Prob. 21(1) (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Lamien, B., Orlande, H.R.B., Elicabe, G.E.: J. Heat Transf. 139/012001-1-11 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Gugercin, S., Antoulas, A.C.: A comparative study of 7 algorithms for model reduction. In: Proceedings of the 39th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control. Sydney, Australia, Dec 2000

    Google Scholar 

  10. Arridge, S.R., Kaipio, J.P., Kolehmainen, V., Schweiger, M., Somersalo, E., Tarvainen, T., Vauhkonen, M.: Approximation errors and model reduction with an application in optical diffusion tomography. Inverse Prob. 22, 175–195 (2006)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. Cesar, C., Orlande, H.R.B., Colaco, M.J., Dulikravich, G.S.: Estimation of a location and time dependent high magnitude heat flux in a heat conduction problem using the Kalman filter and the approximation error model. Numer. Heat Transf. Part A: Appl. 68(11), 1198–1219 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to N. Gnanasekaran .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2019 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Gnanasekaran, N., Harsha Kumar, M.K. (2019). Accelerating MCMC Using Model Reduction for the Estimation of Boundary Properties Within Bayesian Framework. In: Srinivasacharya, D., Reddy, K. (eds) Numerical Heat Transfer and Fluid Flow. Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-1903-7_19

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-1903-7_19

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore

  • Print ISBN: 978-981-13-1902-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-981-13-1903-7

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics