Abstract
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Overcapacity of primary aluminium is local surplus. In traditional aluminium producing provinces such as Henan and Shandong, excess capacity does exist; but in western China, the industry still has large room for development. The claim that primary aluminium industry in the whole country suffers overcapacity lacks theoretical and data supports.
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The coastal regions of China have high population density, and developed industry, leading to shortage of electricity and higher electricity bills. Production of primary aluminium consumes large amount of electricity; therefore, to optimize the allocation of resources, the distribution of aluminium producers should be adjusted. The center of primary aluminium production should be moved to the resource-rich west. This adjustment is in line with laws of economics, and will help energy saving, emission reduction, and environment protection.
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Storage of primary aluminium is storage of energy. The government should enlarge China’s strategic stockpile of primary aluminium.
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Light-weighted, durable in use, and easy to store, aluminium products may be widely used in the production of automobiles and doors and windows of constructions. If the government builds more low-rent housings for low-income groups, primary aluminium industry will not face overcapacity; instead, it will scale new heights.
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Notes
- 1.
See Status quo and Coping Strategies of Overcapacity in Electrolytic Aluminium Industry, by China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, cnal.com, May 20, 2013.
- 2.
In 2012, fixed asset investment in China’s aluminium industry grew by 25%, with the largest part concentrating in electrolytic aluminium industry; while the figure in nonferrous metal metallurgy industry declined by 5% on a YOY basis. However, with investment in copper, lead and zinc industries shrinking, the troubled aluminium industry still attracts lot of investment. See Status quo and Coping Strategies of Overcapacity in Electrolytic Aluminium Industry, by China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, cnal.com, May 20, 2013.
- 3.
Data of primary aluminium capacity are from China Statistical Yearbook 2014, p.440; data of primary aluminium output are from China Statistical Yearbook 2014, p.434.
- 4.
In 2012, average cost of aluminium production was 16200 yuan/ton, which is calculated according to statistics of national primary aluminium industry survey. In fact, this result is unreliable. Cost in Henan and Shandong is much higher than in Xinjiang and Ningxia. When aluminium producers in Shandong and Henan face losses, their peers in Xinjiang and Ningxia are making good profits.
- 5.
WeFore Consulting Company, Risk Analysis Report of Aluminium Industry 2008 (data of 2004–2007).
- 6.
To make troubled enterprises exit more smoothly, Wen Xianjun, Chairman of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, proposes to establish a compensation mechanism so that electrolytic aluminium capacity could exit from high-cost regions. Enterprises that exit will enjoy policy support, just like in the elimination of obsolete capacity.
- 7.
China Statistical Abstract 2015, p.75.
- 8.
Data of floor space completed are from China Statistical Abstract 2014, p.120.
- 9.
See Chap. 2 for forecast of demand for residential housing.
- 10.
See Wen Xianjun, Status quo and Coping Strategies of Electrolytic Aluminium Overcapacity, cnal.com, May 20, 2013.
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Xu, D., Liu, Y. (2018). Is There Overcapacity in Primary Aluminium Industry?. In: Understanding China's Overcapacity. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0881-9_5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0881-9_5
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