Abstract
This book demonstrates the role of governance at different levels in implementing the SDGs, and within that context in previous chapters the main discourses are analysed and key competences for effective and coherent transition governance are identified. This chapter takes these findings one step further by suggesting three actions that can be taken to increase the effectiveness and coherence of governance for the SDGs at both the individual and the collective (community, organization, institution, societal, etc.) levels. These inferenced actions are:
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Inference 1: Considering behavioural insights
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Inference 2: Addressing complexity through systems deliberations
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Inference 3: Mobilizing ‘crisis’ for change and collective action.
These inferences are highly complementary with the theoretical pillars and competences in the previous chapter and in fact build on them. All three inferences are meant to function as building blocks for coherent approaches in the Integrative Sustainability Governance (ISG) framework which is presented in the next and final chapter.
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Notes
- 1.
- 2.
Psychological research applies empirical methods to investigate individual perceptions and cognitions, individual and collective behaviours, and psychological well-being. This research incorporates physiological, cognitive, affective and interpersonal processes, as well as factors in the social, cultural, biophysical and environments of individuals (Clayton et al. 2015).
- 3.
Willingness generally can be described as the intention, drive or readiness of an actor to reflect on what is the best governance mix according to the situation. The general influences of a person’s willingness can be internal and external. Internal influences can be born from someone’s character, goals, mission in life, past experiences, knowledge and perception of things (these are all unique to a person). External influences include relations with others.
- 4.
In Florida (the US state most susceptible to rising sea levels), state environmental officials are ordered not to use the terms ‘climate change’ or ‘global warming’ in any government communications, emails or reports. (http://www.miamiherald.com/news/state/florida/article12983720.html#storylink=cpy).
- 5.
One interviewee (Pier Vellinga) suggested that the reason why the Netherlands is the biggest donor for UNEP and why Norway is the biggest donor for forestry/REDD+ projects is that they feel ‘guilty’ about their fossil fuel production and energy-intensive industries/trade activities.
- 6.
Behavioural sciences deal with the activities and interactions of all organisms in the natural world. Psychology is a subheading under behavioural sciences that is focused on mental processes and behaviours.
- 7.
In psychology and behavioural economics, the endowment effect is the hypothesis that people ascribe more value to things merely because they own them (Roeckelein 2006).
- 8.
Discounting here refers to the undervaluing of distant or future risks.
- 9.
System justification refers to the tendency to defend and justify the societal status quo. In other words, system justification is about the way in which people counter such unease and “are motivated to justify and rationalize the way things are, so that existing social, economic and political arrangements tend to be perceived as fair and legitimate” (Jost and Hunyady 2005).
- 10.
Prospect theory (Kahneman and Tversky 1979) states that humans have an irrational tendency to be less willing to gamble with profits than with losses. This implies that losses are perceived as being bigger than gains of equal size.
- 11.
One example of a psychological approach that may be useful for both individually and collectively dealing with the complexity and dynamics of sustainability governance is Gestalt psychology. Gestalt theory is based on understanding our ability to acquire and maintain meaningful perceptions in a seemingly chaotic world. The central principle of Gestalt psychology is that the mind (just like society) forms a global whole with self-organizing tendencies instead of just collections of simpler and unrelated elements. This principle maintains that when the human mind (perceptual system) forms a percept or Gestalt, the whole has a reality of its own, independent of the parts. Gestalt therapy aims to let a person deal with change by letting him become what he is already, instead of forcing change within the classical hierarchical therapist–patient relationship.
It is claimed that Gestalt theory can also be applied to social systems that orderly change within dynamic and fragmented social systems is in the direction of integration and holism. This requires that the system becomes conscious of alienated fragments within and without so it can bring them into the main functional activities by processes similar to empowerment of the individual. This should lead to communication with other subsystems and facilitate an integrated, harmonious development of the whole system.
Confronted with a pluralistic, multifaceted, changing society, the individual is left to his own devices to find stability. He must do this through an approach that allows him to move dynamically and flexibly with the times while still maintaining some central gyroscope to guide him. He can no longer do this with ideologies, which become obsolete, but must do it with a change theory, whether explicit or implicit. The goal of Gestalt therapy becomes not so much to develop a good, fixed character but to be able to move with the times while retaining some individual stability.
- 12.
Strategies refer to the methods that are applied in order to exercise power, including the ways in which actors combine different types of power exercise in reaction to the (combined) power exercise of others, i.e. what kind of power relations they engage with, and how they play into a synergetic or antagonistic power dynamics.
- 13.
For example, addressing climate change would help grow the world economy by up to USD 2.6 trillion a year in comparison with a business-as-usual scenario (World Bank 2014).
- 14.
Royal Dutch Shell for example is in favour of emissions trading because that will make its growing gas exploration, production and trading activities more competitive relative to coal.
- 15.
Korea, as Chair of the OECD Meeting of the Council at the Ministerial Level (MCM) in June 2009, initiated the adoption of the OECD Declaration on Green Growth. In 2010, Korea ensured in the G20 Seoul Summit that Green Growth was included in the G20 agenda.
- 16.
Growth is inherent to life and to living organisms, and a systems view regards human societies and economies as living organisms. However, growth is neither linear nor unlimited; while certain parts of systems decline, others flourish. Systems views focus on the qualities of the system as a whole and of the relations between its constitutive parts. Instead of only using a crude number for economic growth (GDP) as a policy objective and measure of success, it could be helpful to distinguish between ‘sustainable’ and ‘unsustainable’ growth, for example by adding measurements of environmental quality, ‘quality of life’ and well-being.
- 17.
The Global Commission on the Economy and Climate’s report ‘Better Growth, Better Climate’, for example, shows that economic growth and climate change mitigation can go hand-in-hand: http://newclimateeconomy.net/.
- 18.
- 19.
Lakoff (2008) argues that empathy and cooperation are fundamental human capacities by drawing on neurological evidence for ‘mirror neurons’ which fire both when an individual acts, and when an individual observes another acting in the same way a person to literally feel what another person is feeling.
- 20.
One example is that environmental groups concerned with climate change highlight the threat of climate change to polar bears. By appealing to the fate of the (both physically and emotionally far away) polar bear, rather than to speaking to the impacts of climate change on people’s everyday world (e.g. food production, jobs, children’s health), a more expansive and world centric value-set is assumed by environmental groups.
- 21.
The variety of interests and stakeholders in climate change is unparalleled. Climate change can mean different things to different people; it is used as a battleground between different practices and philosophies of science and between different ways of knowing; it is used as an excuse for the commodification of the atmosphere and of the gas carbon dioxide; it is the inspiration for global networks of social movements; and it is used to reveal threats to human and environmental security. Overall, the idea of climate change is changing our social worlds and affects our world views (Hulme 2010).
- 22.
Sarewitz (2004) further states that “those holding different value perspectives may see in the huge and diverse body of scientific information related to climate change, different facts, theories and hypotheses relevant to and consistent with their own normative frameworks”.
- 23.
Hahnel and Brosch employ a definition of perception that goes beyond rudimentary perceptual processes and encompasses attentional processes, expectations and inferences.
- 24.
There are three levels of dynamics in complex systems: the agent level; the system level; and the context level. These levels bear strong similarities with the three levels of Landscape, Regimes and Niches in transition management’s multilevel framework.
- 25.
Here it is important to distinguish between social and technical systems as complex technical systems can allow operation of, e.g. a building close to equilibrium temperature through measures such as automatic blinds.
- 26.
If governments limit emissions to a level consistent with science (e.g. 2 °C above pre-industrial levels), then fossil fuel companies can sell and burn only a minor part of their reserves (McGlade and Ekins 2015). Also, energy utilities and oil majors would have stranded assets (e.g. coal fired power plants and oil reserves that are not desired any more). As a result, those companies would face collapse, and so would global stock markets (fossil fuel companies control one-third of global stock market assets), the taxes that fossil fuel companies pay to governments, the banks that made loans to fossil fuel companies, and the revenues that governments will lose from state-owned enterprises (70% of fossil fuel reserves are owned by SOEs). Currently, fossil fuels account for 20–30% of the worth of major stock exchanges around the world (Carbon Tracker 2011; available at http://go.nature.com/2ppxcyh). This phenomenon of fossil fuel-related assets that may become worthless is called the ‘carbon bubble’. Several oil companies, including Shell, Statoil and BP have decided to report on how they address (measures on) climate change under pressure from shareholders. In addition, campaigns have been launched to ‘divest’ from the fossil fuel industry. In October 2015 Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England and chairman of the G20 countries’ Financial Stability Board, warned that climate change might make the world’s stock markets and banks unstable and lead to a financial crash because of stranded assets. Carney called for the setting up of a Climate Disclosure Task Force to which companies have to declare how much carbon they emit, and how they are going to proceed to zero emissions in the future. Also see http://www.bbc.com/news/business-34396961.
- 27.
One example that Dahl gives of the lack of holistic thinking is the global financial crisis of 2008. The financial crisis is widely acknowledged to have been caused by an overconfidence in scientific tools of risk assessment for each financial product without considering the overall behaviour of the system. Risk assessment indeed should be separated from risk management. Whereas the former addresses the question “what are the likely consequences?” and can be based on science, the latter asks “what should we do about it?” and is normative. Technical information is not enough for making choices about the social consequences of sustainability governance (Gregory et al. 2006).
- 28.
Typical examples of complex adaptive systems include: the climate; cities; firms; markets; governments; industries; ecosystems; social networks; power grids; and transport systems.
- 29.
As Frantzeskaki (2011: 3) explains, there is a difference between complexity and uncertainty when referring to systems and their processes: ‘Complexity refers to the characteristic of the subsystems of a system and it is a property of the system. When we know the subsystems and functions of a system but its interdependencies and processes are too nested and too intertwined to disentangle, the system is characterized as complex. Uncertainty refers to the inability to foresee how processes or phenomena will develop over the long-term and/or the unknowability of these processes. The distinction between complexity and uncertainty relies on the dimension of time: uncertainty relates to the time dimension whereas complexity as a property is indifferent or, better, unrelated to time’.
- 30.
Systemic forces are exercised and/or act within the system, while exogenous forces are present and exercised upon the system (from outside the system).
- 31.
Politics includes questions of power and interaction between actors; polity is about ontology, rules, norms and institutions; and policy describes specific problems, solutions and knowledge (Howlett 2009).
- 32.
- 33.
The foresighted thinking competence is the ability to collectively analyse, evaluate, and craft ‘pictures’ of the future in which the impact of local and/or short-term decisions on environmental, social and economic issues is viewed on a global/cosmopolitan scale and in the long term (Wiek et al. 2011). Strategic foresight can be defined as ‘the capacity to anticipate alternative futures and an ability to visualize multiple possible outcomes and their consequences’ (Fuerth 2009).
- 34.
For example, the costs of inaction in terms of economic, biophysical, social and cultural damage across the different systems elements.
- 35.
This does not mean that vision always leads to desirable outcomes; in history there have been numerous destructive events based on individual and collective ‘vision’.
- 36.
Transition management literature traditionally describes a process, based on sustainability visions, in which transition paths are developed and a common transition agenda is formulated collaboratively by network actors (Loorbach 2007). This transition agenda contains a number of joint objectives, action points, projects and instruments to realize collective outcomes, and makes it very clear what party is responsible for which type of activity, project or instrument that is being developed. The next step, which they call the technical stage is to translate the visions into transition paths and establish a series of intermediate objectives, which, as they come closer, can be formulated more quantitatively. Most of the focus is aimed at the structures of the Regime, and at affecting the regulatory, institutional, economic, technological, behavioural and other barriers that may influence the system to move in one direction or the other. The implementation stage relies on experimentations and continuous learning.
- 37.
Inclusive strategies should ‘allocate costs consistently and distribute the benefits equitably across the key actors of the system’ (Probst and Bassi 2014).
- 38.
In fact, the 2007 Lisbon Treaty on EU remains the only multilateral treaty so far prescribing principles of constitutional, parliamentary, participatory and ‘deliberative democracy’ (cf. Articles 9–12 TEU) and a detailed ‘Charter of Fundamental Rights’ for multilevel governance of public goods by an international organization as well as principles of ‘cosmopolitan constitutionalism’ for the external actions of the EU (cf. Articles 3–6, 21 TEU) (Petersmann 2012: 238).
- 39.
According to the PCD approach, governments need to design more effective policies that not only avoid impacts that adversely affect the development prospects of other countries but that also enhance capacities to exploit synergies across different policy areas (e.g. trade, investment, agriculture, environment and development co-operation).
- 40.
- 41.
‘Enhance global macro-economic stability, including through policy coordination and policy coherence’.
- 42.
‘Enhance policy coherence for sustainable development’.
- 43.
Also see https://commitment2050.fi/.
- 44.
Jean Monnet wrote in his memoirs: ‘I have always believed that Europe will be established through crisis, and that the outcome will be the sum of the outcomes of those crises’.
- 45.
- 46.
Vice versa, it is suggested that environmental shocks can expose and topple governments that are corrupt, unresponsive, elitist or inefficient (Pelling 2011). This is important as Flagg (2015) hypothesizes that corrupt states that are led by small elites tend to ignore the public good and are less likely to make climate pledges.
- 47.
See footnote 26 supra.
- 48.
Grin et al. (2010: 1) define a sustainability transition as a ‘radical transformation towards a sustainable society as a response to a number of persistent problems confronting contemporary modern societies’.
- 49.
Osborne and Brown (2005) in fact accept that the cause of emergent change in public organizations is limited to two critical factors: politics and crises.
- 50.
Despite this enthusiasm over the potential for crisis to evoke change, it is important to realize that institutional theorists and political theory scientists have the tendency to use the term ‘crisis’ as an umbrella concept to describe any type of inefficiency or pathology of the system, or any type of unanticipated events (Frantzeskaki 2011). Therefore, it is important to distinguish between different types of triggers for collapse, namely system failures or institutional failures to describe discrepancies (inefficiency, ineffectiveness), exogenous events to capture events exogenous to the system that influence its operation and crisis that are uncertain events of high impact that shock the system. (ibid.) From a transition perspective, collapse differs from adaptation or Regime shifting in the sense that there is no institutional response and a lack of initiative from actors (as manifested by the presence of Niches or new practices).
- 51.
Heberlein (2012) describes ‘attitudes’ as beliefs ‘tied to a value’, so that the belief ‘says or implies that something is better than something else’. Unlike economists’ who believe that preferences and attitudes are fixed, psychologists believe attitudes can change. Heberlein further separates attitudes from values by saying that whereas attitudes always have an object, values do not (p. 15). It is very difficult to change values in the shorter term while attitudes can be changed.
- 52.
Also in economic terms, Denmark’s policies have started to pay off; in 2010, the Danish energy technology sector accounted for about 10% of the country’s exports.
- 53.
On the other hand, Russia allegedly supports protests in Europe against shale gas: http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/01/world/russian-money-suspected-behind-fracking-protests.html?_r=1.
- 54.
- 55.
- 56.
- 57.
One result of this can be the ‘risk society’. According to Giddens, a risk society is ‘a society increasingly preoccupied with the future (and also with safety), which generates the notion of risk’, (1999: 3) while Beck defines it as ‘a systematic way of dealing with hazards and insecurities induced and introduced by modernization itself’ (1992: 21). Also see Annex 28.
- 58.
What holds at the collective level is often also expressed at the individual level. Many people survive heart attacks, but most cardiac surgery patients soon resume their old ways: only about 20% give up smoking, change their diet or get more exercise.
- 59.
- 60.
In both Iceland and Ireland, there is a high degree of social support, as indicated by the Gallup World Poll.
- 61.
There are small differences discernible between these approaches though. While resilience, for example, can be productive when there is a need to adapt to climate change, it can be an obstacle to climate change mitigation when the fossil fuel industry turns out to be resilient.
- 62.
The UN General Assembly adopted the International Strategy for Disaster Reduction in 1999 and established UNISDR (http://www.unisdr.org/) the secretariat to ensure its implementation. UNISDR is also the focal point in the UN system for the coordination of disaster risk reduction.
- 63.
According to UNDP (2007), ‘To be inclusive is a core value of democratic governance, in terms of equal participation, equal treatment and equal rights before the law. This implies that all people […] have the right to participate meaningfully in governance processes and influence decisions that affect them. It also means that governance institutions and policies are accessible, accountable and responsive to disadvantaged groups […].
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Monkelbaan, J. (2019). Inferences on Improving Integrative Sustainability Governance. In: Governance for the Sustainable Development Goals. Sustainable Development Goals Series. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0475-0_6
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