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Forecasting Solar Radiation Data Using Gaussian and Polynomial Fitting Methods

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Sustainable Electrical Power Resources through Energy Optimization and Future Engineering

Abstract

Solar radiation prediction is an important task prior to installation of solar photovoltaic panel or to estimate the amount solar radiation received at certain time with respective location. The main objective of the work presented in this chapter is to perform fitting for solar radiation data by using polynomials, Gaussian function and sine fitting as well as Jain’s methods. Comparison among all methods are measured by using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and the coefficient of determination, R². Two fitting models are proposed for the prediction of solar radiation in the campus of Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS (UTP), Malaysia..

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Correspondence to Samsul Ariffin Abdul Karim .

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Abdul Jalil, M.A., Abdul Karim, S.A., Baharuddin, Z., Abdullah, M.F., Othman, M. (2018). Forecasting Solar Radiation Data Using Gaussian and Polynomial Fitting Methods. In: Sulaiman, S., Kannan, R., Karim, S., Mohd Nor, N. (eds) Sustainable Electrical Power Resources through Energy Optimization and Future Engineering. SpringerBriefs in Energy. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0435-4_2

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0435-4_2

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