Abstract
This study examines the effects of fiscal policy—particularly government expenditure and taxation—on economic growth in Ethiopia using the ARDL modeling approach. It finds that both in the short and long run, the effect of better human capital formation, increased availability of the economy’s capital stock and labor force had a significant positive effect on the growth of the economy. On the fiscal side, a good performance in the collection of indirect tax revenue and increased productive government consumption had a significant positive effect on the growth of the economy both in the short and long run.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
There is no data for private investments from 25 years ago or before the current regime. Hence, private investments are excluded and only government investments are included in our model.
- 2.
Aid has been included as a control variable but was found to be statically insignificant and is not revealed in the estimated output.
References
Abdon, A., G.B. Estrada, M. Lee, and D. Park. 2014. Fiscal policy and growth in developing Asia. ADB Economics Working Paper. No. 412, Asian Development Bank.
Acemoglu, D. 2009. Introduction to modern economic growth. USA: Princeton University Press.
Adnan, A.S. 2014. The impact of public final consumption and investment spending on economic growth in Ethiopia: An application of vector error correction model. Project submitted to the school of graduate studies of Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Ahmad, U.G, and N. Loganathan. 2016. The causal nexus between government expenditure and economic growth in Nigeria: Evidence from a bootstrap rolling window approach. The American Journal of Innovative Research and Applied Sciences. Available at www.american-jiras.com.
Ali, S., and N. Ahmad. 2010. The effects of fiscal policy on economic growth: Empirical evidences based on time series data from Pakistan. The Pakistan Development Review 449: 497–512.
Barro, R.J. 1990. Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth. Journal of Political Economy 98 (2): 103–125.
Barro, R.J., and X. Sala-I-Martin. 1992. Public finance in models of economic growth. Review of Economic Studies 59: 645–661.
Barro, R.J., and X. Sala-I-Martin. 1995. Economic growth. McGraw-Hill.
Barro, R.J., and X. Sala-I-Martin. 1997. Technological diffusion, convergence, and growth. Journal of Economic Growth 2: 1–27.
Bleaney, M., N. Gemmel, and R. Kneller. 2000. Testing the endogenous growth model: Public expenditure, taxation and growth over the long-run. Discussion paper no. 00/25, University of Nottingham.
Demssie, M.W. 2011. Fiscal policy and economic growth, in Ethiopia: An empirical investigation. Thesis submitted to the School of Graduate Studies of Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Easterly, W., and S. Reobelo. 1993. Fiscal policy and economic growth: An empirical investigation. Journal of Monetary Economics 32: 417–458.
Easterly, W., and R. Levine. 1997. Africa’s growth tragedy: Policies and ethnic divisions. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 112 (4): 1203–1250.
Goldsmith, A. 1998. Institutions and economic growth in Africa. African Economic Policy Paper, Harvard Institute for International Development, Discussion Paper No.7.
Green, W.H. 2007. Econometric analysis, 6th ed. Pearson Education, Inc.: Upper Saddle River, New York University.
Ketema, T. 2006. The impact of government spending on economic growth: The case of Ethiopia. Thesis submitted to the School of Graduate Studies of Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa Ethiopia.
Kneller, R., M.F. Bleaney, and N. Gemmell. 1999. Fiscal policy and growth: Evidence from OECD countries. Journal of Public Economics 74: 171–190.
M’Amanja, D., and O. Morrissey. 2005. Fiscal policy and economic growth in Kenya. CREDIT Research Paper. https://www.nottingham.ac.uk/credit/documents/papers/05-06.pdfhttps://www.nottingham.ac.uk/credit/documents/papers/05-06.pdf
Mansouri, B. 2008. Fiscal policy and economic growth: Egypt. Morocco and Tunisia Compared: Unpublished.
MoFED. 2017. Data from ministry of finance and economic development. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Ocran, M.K. 2009. Fiscal policy and economic growth in South Africa. A paper presented at the centre for the study of african economies in a conference on economic development in Africa, March 22–24, in St. Catherine’s College, Oxford University, UK.
Pahlavani, M., E. Wilson, and A.C. Worthington. 2005. Trade-GDP nexus in Iran: An application of the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. American Journal of Applied Sciences 2 (7): 1158–1165.
Pesaran, M.H., and Y. Shin. 1999. An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis. In Centennial volume of rangar frisch, ed. S. Strom, A. Holly, and P. Diamond. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Pesaran, M.H., Y. Shin, and R.J. Smith. 2001. Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Economics 16: 289–326.
Romer, D. 2011. Advanced macroeconomics, 4th ed. Berkeley: University of California.
Shihab, R.A. 2014. The causal relationship between fiscal policy and economic growth in Jordan. International Journal of Business and Social Science 5 (3): 203–208.
Zagler, M., and G. Durnecker. 2003. Fiscal policy and economic growth. Journal of Economic Surveys 17 (3): 397–418.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Gebreegziabher, S. (2018). Effects of Tax and Government Expenditure on Economic Growth in Ethiopia. In: Heshmati, A., Yoon, H. (eds) Economic Growth and Development in Ethiopia. Perspectives on Development in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-8126-2_5
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-8126-2_5
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-10-8125-5
Online ISBN: 978-981-10-8126-2
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)