Abstract
Efforts aimed at equitably and sustainably allocating water to avoid local imbalances between supply and demand and thus longer term resource scarcity , too often focus on technical approaches to increase supply. Technical approaches, by nature, tend to ignore the challenge of incorporating the advances in social sciences to deal with the realities legacy agreements such as water allocation rights or other institutional frameworks such as price subsidies that impede an equitable and sustainable allocation of water. Historical approaches have largely tended to ignore concepts developed from within the economic and social sciences. The objectives of this contribution are thus twofold. First, to discuss the concepts the led to the development of thinking about the long-term and second, identifying those societal trends along with their drivers and enablers that are impacting demand for water given that both, in absolute and per capita basis, demand is likely to continue to grow. Leading from the analysis is the conclusion that water resources need to be viewed both as a public good (asset) and as an economic good (resource) and managed according. Furthermore, demand management is essential to achieve an equitable and sustainable resource allocation; addressing the supply side alone is unlikely to suffice in a growth in demand scenario. The chapter closes by suggesting that practitioners need to address the ‘willingness to pay’ for water and related services given that it is both a public and economic good. Furthermore, they should consider and encourage the codification of different water standards by first addressing its associated ‘value-in-use’. Only then is there the potential of having ‘pricing’ mechanisms functioning effectively in allocating water in an equitable and sustainable way.
References
Angelakis AN, Koutsoyiannis D, Tchobanoglous G (2005) Urban wastewater and stormwater technologies in Ancient Greece. Water Res 39(1):210–220
Beinhocker E, Davis I, Mendonca L (2009) The 10 trends you have to watch. Harv Bus Rev, July–August Issue
CIFS (Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies) (2013) Trends for tomorrow: exploring the potential of eight trends as they unfold. CIFS members’ Report 4: Emerging Trends
Day JW, Moerschbaecher M, Pimentel D, Hall C, Yáñez-Arancibia A (2014) Sustainability and place: how emerging meta-trends of 21st century will affect humans and nature at the landscape level. Ecol Eng 65:33–48
EEA (European Environment Agency) (2015) Global megatrends assessment: extended background analysis. EEA Technical Report 11/2015, ISSN 1725-2237
Farhad M (2016) Why we need to look to the future. International New York Times, New York
Frost & Sullivan (2010) World’s Top Global Mega Trends to 2020 and Implications to Business, Society and Cultures. Ref: M65B-18, Oct 12, 2010
Goldman L (1983) Megatrends: megahype, megabad. Educ Leadersh 41(1):55–57
Koutsoyiannis D, Zarkadoulas N, Angelakis AN, Tchobanoglous G (2008) Urban water management in Ancient Greece: legacies and lessons. J Water Resour Plan Manag 134(1):45–54
Larsen AG (2011) Why megatrends matter. Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies (CIFS). Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies. http://cifs.dk/publications/scenario-magazine/2006/fo-52006/futureorientation-52006/why-megatrends-matter/. Accessed 10 Apr 2017
Lewis AJ (1983) Book reviews. Educ Leadersh, May, pp 69–70
Naisbitt J (1982) Megatrends: ten new directions transforming our lives. Warner Books Inc., New York
National Intelligence Council (2012) Global trends 2030: alternative worlds. https://www.dni.gov/index.php/global-trends-home. Accessed 3 May 3 2017
Nisbet RA (1969) Social change and history. Oxford University Press, New York
Toffler A (1970) The future shock. Random House Publishing Company, New York
Tortajada C (2014) Water infrastructure as an essential element for human development. Int J Water Resour Dev 30(2):8–19
Von Groddeck V, Schwarz JO (2013) Perceiving megatrends as empty signifiers: a discourse-theoretical interpretation of trend management. Futures 47:28–37
Wilkinson A, Kupers R (2013) Living in the futures. Harv Bus Rev, May Issue
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Rohner, P. (2018). Water: A Megatrends Perspective. In: Biswas, A., Tortajada, C., Rohner, P. (eds) Assessing Global Water Megatrends. Water Resources Development and Management. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-6695-5_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-6695-5_2
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-10-6694-8
Online ISBN: 978-981-10-6695-5
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)