Skip to main content

Water: A Megatrends Perspective

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Assessing Global Water Megatrends

Part of the book series: Water Resources Development and Management ((WRDM))

Abstract

Efforts aimed at equitably and sustainably allocating water to avoid local imbalances between supply and demand and thus longer term resource scarcity , too often focus on technical approaches to increase supply. Technical approaches, by nature, tend to ignore the challenge of incorporating the advances in social sciences to deal with the realities legacy agreements such as water allocation rights or other institutional frameworks such as price subsidies that impede an equitable and sustainable allocation of water. Historical approaches have largely tended to ignore concepts developed from within the economic and social sciences. The objectives of this contribution are thus twofold. First, to discuss the concepts the led to the development of thinking about the long-term and second, identifying those societal trends along with their drivers and enablers that are impacting demand for water given that both, in absolute and per capita basis, demand is likely to continue to grow. Leading from the analysis is the conclusion that water resources need to be viewed both as a public good (asset) and as an economic good (resource) and managed according. Furthermore, demand management is essential to achieve an equitable and sustainable resource allocation; addressing the supply side alone is unlikely to suffice in a growth in demand scenario. The chapter closes by suggesting that practitioners need to address the ‘willingness to pay’ for water and related services given that it is both a public and economic good. Furthermore, they should consider and encourage the codification of different water standards by first addressing its associated ‘value-in-use’. Only then is there the potential of having ‘pricing’ mechanisms functioning effectively in allocating water in an equitable and sustainable way.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Angelakis AN, Koutsoyiannis D, Tchobanoglous G (2005) Urban wastewater and stormwater technologies in Ancient Greece. Water Res 39(1):210–220

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Beinhocker E, Davis I, Mendonca L (2009) The 10 trends you have to watch. Harv Bus Rev, July–August Issue

    Google Scholar 

  • CIFS (Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies) (2013) Trends for tomorrow: exploring the potential of eight trends as they unfold. CIFS members’ Report 4: Emerging Trends

    Google Scholar 

  • Day JW, Moerschbaecher M, Pimentel D, Hall C, Yáñez-Arancibia A (2014) Sustainability and place: how emerging meta-trends of 21st century will affect humans and nature at the landscape level. Ecol Eng 65:33–48

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • EEA (European Environment Agency) (2015) Global megatrends assessment: extended background analysis. EEA Technical Report 11/2015, ISSN 1725-2237

    Google Scholar 

  • Farhad M (2016) Why we need to look to the future. International New York Times, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Frost & Sullivan (2010) World’s Top Global Mega Trends to 2020 and Implications to Business, Society and Cultures. Ref: M65B-18, Oct 12, 2010

    Google Scholar 

  • Goldman L (1983) Megatrends: megahype, megabad. Educ Leadersh 41(1):55–57

    Google Scholar 

  • Koutsoyiannis D, Zarkadoulas N, Angelakis AN, Tchobanoglous G (2008) Urban water management in Ancient Greece: legacies and lessons. J Water Resour Plan Manag 134(1):45–54

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Larsen AG (2011) Why megatrends matter. Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies (CIFS). Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies. http://cifs.dk/publications/scenario-magazine/2006/fo-52006/futureorientation-52006/why-megatrends-matter/. Accessed 10 Apr 2017

  • Lewis AJ (1983) Book reviews. Educ Leadersh, May, pp 69–70

    Google Scholar 

  • Naisbitt J (1982) Megatrends: ten new directions transforming our lives. Warner Books Inc., New York

    Google Scholar 

  • National Intelligence Council (2012) Global trends 2030: alternative worlds. https://www.dni.gov/index.php/global-trends-home. Accessed 3 May 3 2017

  • Nisbet RA (1969) Social change and history. Oxford University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Toffler A (1970) The future shock. Random House Publishing Company, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Tortajada C (2014) Water infrastructure as an essential element for human development. Int J Water Resour Dev 30(2):8–19

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Von Groddeck V, Schwarz JO (2013) Perceiving megatrends as empty signifiers: a discourse-theoretical interpretation of trend management. Futures 47:28–37

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wilkinson A, Kupers R (2013) Living in the futures. Harv Bus Rev, May Issue

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Philippe Rohner .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2018 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Rohner, P. (2018). Water: A Megatrends Perspective. In: Biswas, A., Tortajada, C., Rohner, P. (eds) Assessing Global Water Megatrends. Water Resources Development and Management. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-6695-5_2

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics