Skip to main content

Stochastic Accelerated Degradation Models Based on a Generalized Cumulative Damage Approach

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Statistical Modeling for Degradation Data

Part of the book series: ICSA Book Series in Statistics ((ICSABSS))

Abstract

A general methodology for stochastic degradation models is introduced that allows for both hard and soft failures to be taken into account when conducting parametric inference on lifetimes. Due to the development of engineering and science technology, modern products have longer lifetimes and greater reliability than ever before. Thus, it often takes more time to observe failures under normal-use conditions. Accelerated tests have been developed in order to deal with this lifetime-to-failure increase. Accelerated tests decrease the strength or lifetime to failure by exposing the specimens or products to harsh conditions. This exposure results in earlier breakdowns. Modelling these accelerated tests requires the use of stochastic degradation models with accelerating explanatory variables. By using a generalized cumulative damage approach with a stochastic process describing degradation, we develop stochastic accelerated degradation models which handle failure data consisting of both hard and soft failures.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

eBook
USD 16.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Glasstone S, Laidler KJ, Eyring HE (1941) The theory of rate processes. McGraw-Hill, New York

    Google Scholar 

  2. Park C, Padgett WJ (2005) Accelerated degradation models for failure based on geometric Brownian motion and gamma processes. Lifetime Data Anal 11:511–527

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. Park C, Padgett WJ (2006) Stochastic degradation models with several accelerating variables. IEEE Trans Reliab 55:379–390

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Nelson W (1990) Accelerated testing: statistical models, test plans, data analyses. John Wiley, New York

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  5. Nelson W (2005) A bibliography of accelerated test plans. IEEE Trans Reliab 54:194–197

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Nelson W (2005) A bibliography of accelerated test plans part II – references. IEEE Trans Reliab 54:370–373

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Bagdonavicius V, Nikulin M (2002) Accelerated life models, modeling and statistical analysis. Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton

    Google Scholar 

  8. Meeker WQ, Escobar LA (1998) Statistical methods for reliability data. John Wiley, New York

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  9. Doksum K, Normand S-LT (1995) Gaussian models for degradation processes – part I: methods for the analysis of biomarker data. Lifetime Data Anal 1:135–144

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  10. Lu J (1995) Degradation processes and related reliability models. Ph.D. thesis, McGill University

    Google Scholar 

  11. Whitmore GA (1995) Estimating degradation by a Wiener diffusion process subject to measurement error. Lifetime Data Anal 1:307–319

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  12. Whitmore GA, Schenkelberg F (1997) Modelling accelerated degradation data using Wiener diffusion with a scale transformation. Lifetime Data Anal 3:27–45

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  13. Whitmore GA, Crowder MJ, Lawless JF (1998) Failure inference from a marker process based on a bivariate Wiener model. Lifetime Data Anal 4:229–251

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  14. Pettit LI, Young KDS (1999) Bayesian analysis for inverse Gaussian lifetime data with measures of degradation. J Stat Comput Simul 63:217–234

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Padgett WJ, Tomlinson MA (2004) Inference from accelerated degradation and failure data based on Gaussian process models. Lifetime Data Anal 10:191–206

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  16. Bagdonavicius V, Nikulin M (2000) Estimation in degradation models with explanatory variables. Lifetime Data Anal 7:85–103

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  17. Lawless J, Crowder M (2004) Covariates and random effects in a gamma process model with application to degradation and failure. Lifetime Data Anal 10:213–227

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  18. Ling MH, Tsui KL, Balakrishnan N (2015) Accelerated degradation analysis for the quality of a system based on the gamma process. IEEE Trans Reliab 64(1):463–472

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Li J, Wang Z, Zhang Y, Fu H, Liu C, Krishnaswamy S (2017) Degradation data analysis based on a generalized Wiener process subject to measurement error. Mech Syst Signal Process 94:57–72

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Lu CJ, Meeker WQ (1993) Using degradation measures to estimate a time-to-failure distribution. Technometrics 35:161–174

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  21. Boulanger M, Escobar LA (1994) Experimental design for a class of accelerated degradation tests. Technometrics 36:260–272

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  22. Hamada M (1995) Analysis of experiments for reliability improvement and robust reliability. In: Balakrishnan N (ed) Recent advances in life testing and reliability. CRC Press, Boca Raton

    Google Scholar 

  23. Meeker WQ, Escobar LA, Lu CJ (1998) Accelerated degradation tests: modeling and analysis. Technometrics 40:89–99

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Carey MB, Koenig RH (1991) Reliability assessment based on accelerated degradation: a case study. IEEE Trans Reliab 40:499–506

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Yanagisawa T (1997) Estimation of the degradation of amorphous silicon cells. Microelectron Reliab 37:549–554

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Wang L, Pan R, Li X, Jiang T (2013) A Bayesian reliability evaluation method with integrated accelerated degradation testing and field information. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 112:38–47

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Guan Q, Tang Y, Xu A (2016) Objective Bayesian analysis accelerated degradation test based on Wiener process models. Appl Math Model 40(4):2743–2755

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  28. Fan T-H, Chen C-H (2017) A Bayesian predictive analysis of step-stress accelerated tests in gamma degradation-based processes. Qual Reliab Eng Int. doi: 10.1002/qre.2114

    Google Scholar 

  29. Ye Z-S, Chen N, Shen Y (2015) A new class of Wiener process models for degradation analysis. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 139:58–67

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Ye Z-S, Xie M (2015) Stochastic modelling and analysis of degradation for highly reliable products. Appl Stoch Model Bus Ind 31(1):16–32

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  31. Bhattacharyya GK, Fries A (1982) Fatigue failure models – Birnbaum-Saunders vs. inverse Gaussian. IEEE Trans Reliab 31:439–440

    Google Scholar 

  32. Desmond AF (1985) Stochastic models of failure in random environments. Can J Stat 13: 171–183

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  33. Padgett WJ (1998) A multiplicative damage model for strength of fibrous composite materials. IEEE Trans Reliab 47:46–52

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Durham SD, Padgett WJ (1997) A cumulative damage model for system failure with application to carbon fibers and composites. Technometrics 39:34–44

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  35. Park C, Padgett WJ (2005) New cumulative damage models for failure using stochastic processes as initial damage. IEEE Trans Reliab 54:530–540

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Park C, Padgett WJ (2006) A general class of cumulative damage models for materials failure. J Stat Plan Inference 136:3783–3801

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  37. Park C, Padgett WJ (2007) Cumulative damage models for failure with several accelerating variables. Qual Technol Quant Manag 4:17–34

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  38. Park C, Padgett WJ (2008) Cumulative damage models based on gamma processes. In: Ruggeri F, Faltin F, Kenett R (eds) Encyclopedia of statistics in quality and reliability. Wiley, Chichester

    Google Scholar 

  39. Jacod J, Shiryaev AN (1987) Limit theorems for stochastic processes. Springer, New York

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  40. Chhikara RS, Folks JL (1989) The inverse Gaussian distribution: theory, methodology, and applications. Marcel Dekker, New York

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  41. Birnbaum ZW, Saunders SC (1969) A new family of life distributions. J Appl Probab 6: 319–327

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  42. Onar A, Padgett WJ (2000) Inverse Gaussian accelerated test models based on cumulative damage. J Stat Comput Simul 66:233–247

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  43. Mann NR, Schafer RE, Singpurwalla ND (1974) Methods for statistical analysis of reliability and life data. Wiley, New York

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  44. Peirce FT (1926) Tensile tests for cotton yarns: “the weakest link” theorems on the strength of long and of composite specimens. J Text Inst 17:355–368

    Article  Google Scholar 

  45. Wolstenholme LC (1995) A nonparametric test of the weakest-link principle. Technometrics 37:169–175

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  46. Padgett WJ, Durham SD, Mason AM (1995) Weibull analysis of the strength of carbon fibers using linear and power law models for the length effect. J Compos Mater 29:1873–1884

    Article  Google Scholar 

  47. Smith RL (1991) Weibull regression models for reliability data. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 34:55–77

    Article  Google Scholar 

  48. Cox DR (1972) Regression models and life tables. J R Stat Soc B 34:187–220

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  49. Akaike H (1993) Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In: Petrov BN, Czáki F (eds) Second international symposium on information theory 1973, Budapest. Akademiai Kiadó, pp 267–281. Reprinted in Kotz S, Johnson NL (eds) Breakthroughs in statistics, vol 1. Springer, pp 610–624

    Google Scholar 

  50. Akaike H (1974) A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Trans Autom Control 19:716–722

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  51. Burnham KP, Anderson DR (2002) Model selection and multi-model inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. Springer, New York

    MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant funded by the Korea government (No. NRF-2017R1A2B4004169). We appreciate the valuable comments from anonymous referees which led to an improvement of the article. The author also wishes to dedicate this work to the memory and honor of Professor Byung Ho Lee in the Department of Nuclear Engineering at Seoul National University.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Chanseok Park .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Park, C. (2017). Stochastic Accelerated Degradation Models Based on a Generalized Cumulative Damage Approach. In: Chen, DG., Lio, Y., Ng, H., Tsai, TR. (eds) Statistical Modeling for Degradation Data. ICSA Book Series in Statistics. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-5194-4_1

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics