Abstract
Climate change may affect crop growth and yield, which consequently casts a shadow of doubt over China’s food self-sufficiency efforts. Although the projections of climate change impacts on crop yields may be inherently uncertain (Asseng et al. in Nat Clim Change 3:827–832, 2013), the projections of changes in crop yields in China are widely reported using crop models with general circulation model (GCM) outputs generated for the Assessment Report of IPCC. It has been suggested that along with increase in global mean temperature the yields of maize and rice would decline, while wheat yield would increase in some regions in China (Challinor et al. in Environ Res Lett 5:1–8, 2010; Ju et al. in J Integr Agri 12:892–902, 2013).
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Yin, Y., Tang, Q., Liu, X., Cui, H. (2018). Agricultural Risks. In: Tang, Q., Ge, Q. (eds) Atlas of Environmental Risks Facing China Under Climate Change. IHDP/Future Earth-Integrated Risk Governance Project Series. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-4199-0_4
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