Abstract
Accurate prediction of the rental demand origin-destination distribution of public bicycles provides a foundation according to which layout planning, operational management and dispatching of bicycle sharing system stations may be achieved. Based on the conventional double-constrained gravity model, the rental duration distribution function was employed as a distribution impedance function in order to establish a prediction model for the origin-destination distribution of public bicycles in a bicycle sharing system. The expense incurred by the weighted average travel time of the bicycle sharing system located in the old town of Zhenhai District, Ningbo, was applied to test the origin-destination distribution prediction model for public bicycles based on characteristics of rental duration distribution. Results indicate that the established model demonstrates high precision and can be used to effectively predict the origin-destination distribution of bicycle sharing systems, thus avoiding the dense distribution over short distances which results from the conventional double-constrained gravity model.
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Acknowledgements
This research is funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (51308311,51308298), the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province, China (LY17E080013), the Natural Science Foundation of Ningbo City, China(2016A610112) and the Open Research Fund of Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, Southeast University. We hereby express our gratitude.
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Zhang, S., Ji, Y., Sheng, D., Zhou, J. (2018). Origin-Destination Distribution Prediction Model for Public Bicycles Based on Rental Characteristics. In: Wang, W., Bengler, K., Jiang, X. (eds) Green Intelligent Transportation Systems. GITSS 2016. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 419. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-3551-7_22
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-3551-7_22
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