Abstract
The present paper is a selective overview, very considerably based on work in which the author himself has been involved, of the difficulties which can arise in the measurement of poverty and inequality when one compares populations of differing size. The paper begins with certain problems attending the measurement of poverty when the overall population size is fixed but the numbers of the poor are permitted to vary: one discovers a certain commonality of outcomes between Derek Parfit’s quest for a satisfactory theory of wellbeing and the economist’s quest for a satisfactory measure of poverty. Complications arising from both the poverty and inequality rankings of distributions when the aggregate size of the population is allowed to vary are also investigated. It is suggested in the paper that, from the perspectives of both logical consistency and ethical appeal, there are problems involved in variable population comparisons of poverty and inequality which deserve to be taken note of and enquired into.
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Notes
- 1.
Axioms for variable population poverty comparisons are less commonly present in the literature than axioms for fixed population comparisons. Here—following on the suggestion of one of the Editors of this special issue—are some simple numerical examples which should help to illustrate the import of these axioms. In everything that follows, we shall take it that the poverty line is given by z = 2. Suppose x = (1, 3) and y = (1, 1, 3, 3), then it is clear that y is just a 2-replication of x, and Replication Invariance requires that P(x; z) = P(y; z), whereas Replication Scaling requires that P(y; z) > P(x; z). If x = (1, 3) and y = (1, 1, 3), then Weak Poverty Growth requires that P(x; z) < P(y; z). If x = (1, 3) and y = (1, 3, 4), then Non-Poverty Growth requires that P(x; z) > P(y; z). If x = (1, 3) and y = (1, 3, 4), then Weak Population Focus requires that P(x; z) < P(y; z), while Population Focus requires that P(x; z) = P(y; z). If x = (1, 3) and y = (1, 5, 7), then Comprehensive Focus requires that P(x; z) = P(y; z). Finally, if x = (0, 0) and y = (0, 0, 3), then Maximality requires that P(x; z) > P(y; z).
- 2.
For readers who are relatively unfamiliar with axioms for variable population inequality comparisons, here, again, are a few simple arithmetical examples designed to illustrate the import of the axioms. Suppose x = (1, 3) and y = (1, 1, 3, 3), then since y is just a 2-replication of x, Replication Invariance will demand that I(x) = I(y). If x = (0, 0, 3) and y = (0, 0, 3, 3)—that is, y has been derived from x (an extremal distribution) by the addition of a person with the same income as that of the richest individual in x—then Upper Mole Monotonicity will require that I(y) < I(x). If x = (3, 3, 3, 3)—that is, x is a perfectly equal distribution of incomes—then Lower-Bound Normalization will require that I(x) = 0. Finally, if x = (0, 0, 3) and y = (0, 0, 0, 3)—that is, y has been derived from x (an extremal distribution) by the addition of a person with zero income—then Upper-Bound Normalization will require that I(y) = I (x).
- 3.
This, obviously, is also true for the well-known P α>0 family of poverty measures due to Foster et al. (1984). A distinguished member of this family is the P 2 index, given, for all x ∈ X and z ∈ S, as we have seen earlier (in Sect. 5.3), by: \( P_{2} ({\mathbf{x}};z) = {{H}}({\mathbf{x}};z)[{{I}}^{2} ({\mathbf{x}};z) + (1 - {{I}}({\mathbf{x}};z))^{2} {{C}}^{{P}} ({\mathbf{x}};z)] \). This is a measure of ‘how poor’ a society is. A corresponding measure of the ‘quantity of poverty’ in a society would be given by: P 2′(x;z) = A(x;z)[I 2(x;z) + (1 − I(x;z))2 C P(x;z)]: all one has to do to derive P 2′ from P 2 is to replace the headcount ratio by the aggregate headcount.
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Acknowledgment
Over the years, I have benefited from helpful advice on the subject of this paper from several scholars, and without intending to implicate any of them, I would like to acknowledge my debt to Kaushik Basu, John Broome, Satya Chakravarty, Nicole Hassoun, Satish Jain, D. Jayaraj, Sripad Motiram, Manoj Panda, Prasanta Pattanaik, Sanjay Reddy, and John Weymark. Additionally, the paper has gained from suggestions made by the Guest Editors of this Special Issue. I am also grateful to UNU-WIDER, Helsinki, where an earlier version of this paper was written in the course of a Sabbatical Fellowship, and where it was published as UNU-WIDER Working Paper No. 2012/53.
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Subramanian, S. (2017). Variable Populations and the Measurement of Poverty and Inequality: A Selective Overview. In: Krishna, K., Pandit, V., Sundaram, K., Dua, P. (eds) Perspectives on Economic Development and Policy in India. India Studies in Business and Economics. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-3150-2_5
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