Abstract
In the previous chapter, the modelling and simulation of boom and bust of cocoa production systems in Malaysia have been presented. This chapter demonstrates how to construct a system dynamics model of hilsa fish and simulate the model for policy planning and design for sustainable development. The model presented in this chapter is organised as follows: (1) introduction, (2) dynamic hypothesis, (3) causal loop diagram, (4) stockâflow diagram, (5) model validation, (6) simulation and policy analysis and (7) conclusion to illustrate the system dynamics applications based on systems thinking. Such experiences are essential to face the challenge of modelling and simulation of dynamic systems. The model predicts the long-term trends in the hilsa population over several decades and assesses the impacts of harvesting the juveniles and spawning adults. Simulated results show that increased harvesting of the adults entering the rivers and the juveniles in the rivers cause gradual decline in hilsa fish population and even may cause this valuable resource to disappear within a short period of time. Also the optimal strategies for sustainable development of hilsa fish have been addressed.
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Bala, B.K., Arshad, F.M., Noh, K.M. (2017). Modelling of Hilsa Fish (Tenualosa ilisha) Population in Bangladesh. In: System Dynamics. Springer Texts in Business and Economics. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-2045-2_9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-2045-2_9
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