Skip to main content

Comparison of a Hybrid Neural Network and Semi-distributed Simulator for Stream Flow Prediction

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
ISFRAM 2015

Abstract

Hydrological models are widely used for the simulation of stream flow in order to aid water resources planning and management in catchment or river basin. Numerous hydrological models have been developed based on different theories. Performance of such models depends on hydro-climatic setting of a catchment. In the present study, performance of a widely used physically based distributed model known as Soil and Water Assessment (SWAT) and a data-driven model, namely hybrid artificial neural network (HANN), has been evaluated to simulate stream flow in an arid catchment located in the south of Iran. Data related to topography, hydrometeorology, land cover, and soil were collected and processed for this purpose. The models were calibrated and validated with same time period to evaluate the advantage and disadvantages of different models. The results showed SWAT outperformed HANN in terms of relative errors such as Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency and percent of bias during model validation. Other error indicates, namely root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error, and mean relative error (MRE), were found close to zero for SWAT during both model calibration and validation. The study suggests that both models have their own promising flow prediction due to their own features and capabilities for daily flow.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 89.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Patra KC (2008) Hydrology and water resources engineering. Alpha Science International Ltd., U.K.

    Google Scholar 

  2. World Water Council, Water crisis. Retrieved 20 Dec 2009, from http://www.worldwatercouncil.org/index.php?id=25

  3. Foltz RC (2002) Iran’s water crisis: cultural, political, and ethical dimensions. J Agric Environ Ethics 15:357–380

    Google Scholar 

  4. Shaw EM (1994) Hydrology in practice. Chapman and Hall, London

    Google Scholar 

  5. Singh A, Imtiyaz M, Isaac RK, Denis DM (2012) Comparison of soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) and multilayer perceptron (MLP) artificial neural network for predicting sediment yield in the Nagwa agricultural watershed in Jharkhand, India. Agric Water Manage 104:113–120

    Google Scholar 

  6. Van Liew MW, Arnold JG, Garbrecht JD (2003) Hydrologic simulation on agricultural watersheds: choosing between two models. Trans ASAE 46(6):1539–1551

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Anctil F, Perrin C, Andreassian V (2004) Impact of the length of observed records on the performance of ANN and of conceptual parsimonious rainfall-runoff forecasting models. Environ Model Softw 19:357–368

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Junfeng C, Xiubin L, Ming Z (2005) Simulating the impacts of climate variation and land-cover changes on basin hydrology: a case study of the Suomo basin. Scii China Ser D Earth Sci 48(9):1501–1509

    Google Scholar 

  9. Qin XU, Ren L, Yu Z, Bang Y, Wang G (2008) Rainfall-runoff modelling at daily scale with artificial neural networks. In: 4th international conference on natural computation, vol. 2, pp. 504-508, ICNC. 18–20 Oct

    Google Scholar 

  10. Parajuli PB, Nelson NO, Frees LD, Mankin KR (2009) Comparison of AnnAGNPS and SWAT model simulation results in USDA-CEAP agricultural watersheds in south-central Kansas. Hydrol Process 23:785–797

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Xu ZX, Pang JP, Liu CM, Li JY (2009) Assessment of runoff and sediment yield in the Miyun reservoir catchment by using SWAT model. Hydrol Process 23:3619–3630

    Google Scholar 

  12. Demirel MC, Venancio A, Kahya E (2009) Flow forecast by SWAT model and ANN in Pracana basin, Portugal. Adv Eng Softw 40:467–473

    Google Scholar 

  13. Srivastava P, McNair JN, Johnson TE (2006) Comparison of process-based and artificial neural network approaches for stream flow modeling in an agricultural watershed. J Am Water Resour Assoc 42(3):545–563

    Google Scholar 

  14. Morid S, Gosain AK, Keshari AK (2002) Comparison of the SWAT model and ANN for daily simulation of runoff in snowbound un-gauged catchments. In: Fifth international conference on hydroinformatics, Cardiff, UK

    Google Scholar 

  15. Al-Damkhi AM, Abdul-Wahab SA, AL-Nafisi AS (2009) On the need to reconsidering water management in Kuwait. Clean Technol Environ Policy 11:379–384

    Google Scholar 

  16. Kanae S (2009) Global warming and the water crisis. J Health Sci 55:860–864

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Jajarmizadeh M, Harun S, Salarpour M (2014) An assessment of a proposed hybrid neural network for daily flow prediction in arid climate. Model Simul Eng Article ID 635018, 10 pages

    Google Scholar 

  18. Jajarmizadeh M, Harun S, Abdullah R, Salarpour M An evaluation of blue water prediction in southern part of Iran using SWAT. Environ Eng Manage J (in press)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Arnold JG, Moriasi DN, Gassman PW, Abbaspour KC, White MJ, Srinivasan R, Santhi C, Harmel RD, van Griensven A, Van Liew MW, Kannan N, Jha M (2012) SWAT: model use, calibration, and validation. Am Soc Agric Biol Eng 55(4):1491–1508

    Google Scholar 

  20. Jajarmizadeh M, Harun Sobri, Akib Shatirah, Sabari NSB (2014) Derivative discharge and runoff volume simulation from different time steps with a hydrologic simulator. Res J Appl Sci Eng Technol 8(9):1125–1131

    Google Scholar 

  21. Jajarmizadeh M, Harun S, Shahid S, Akib S, Salarpour M (2014) Impact of direct soil-moisture and revised soil-moisture index methods on hydrologic predictions in an arid climate. Adv Meteorol 2014:8, Article ID 156172

    Google Scholar 

  22. Jajarmizadeh M, Kakaei Lafdani E, Harun S, Ahmadi A (2015) Application of SVM and SWAT models for monthly stream flow prediction a case study in South of Iran. KSCE J Civil Eng 19(1):345–357

    Google Scholar 

  23. Ahmed Suliman AH, Jajarmizadeh M, Harun S, Darus IZM (2015) Comparison of semi-distributed, GIS-based hydrological models for the prediction of streamflow in a large catchment. Water Resour Manage 29(9):3095, 3110

    Google Scholar 

  24. Abbaspour KC, Johnson A, Van Genuchten MT (2004) Estimating uncertain flow and transport parameters using a sequential uncertainty fitting procedure. Vadose Zone J 3(4):1340–1352

    Google Scholar 

  25. Abbaspour KC (2015) SWAT‐CUP: SWAT calibration and uncertainty programs, A User Manual

    Google Scholar 

  26. Dawson CW, Wilby RL (2001) Hydrological modeling using artificial neural networks. Progress Phys Geogr 25(1):80–108

    Google Scholar 

  27. Bowden G, Dandy GC, Maier HR (2005) Input determination for neural network models in water resources applications. Part 1—background and methodology. J Hydrol 301:75–92

    Google Scholar 

  28. Kalteh AM, Hjorth P, Berndtsson R (2008) Review of the self-organizing map (SOM) approach in water resources: analysis, modeling and application. Environ Model Softw 23:835–845

    Google Scholar 

  29. Parasuraman K, Elshorbagy A, Carey SK (2006) Spiking modular neural networks: a neural network modeling approach for hydrological processes. Water Resou Res 42:1–14

    Google Scholar 

  30. Krause P, Boyle DP, Base F (2005) Comparison of different efficient criteria for hydrological model assessment. Adv Geosci 5:89–97

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Wu JS, Han J, Annambhotla S, Bryant S (2005) Artificial neural networks for forecasting watershed runoff and stream flows. J Hydrol Eng 10(3):216–222

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This study is involved with the cooperation of Department of Hydraulic and Hydrology and Centre of Information and Communication Technology of Universiti Teknologi, Malaysia; consultant engineers of Ab Rah Saz Shargh Corporation in Iran; and the Regional Water, Agricultural, and Natural Resources Organizations of The Hormozgan State, Iran.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Milad Jajarmizadeh .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2016 Springer Science+Business Media Singapore

About this paper

Cite this paper

Jajarmizadeh, M., Sidek, L.M., Harun, S., Shahid, S., Basri, H. (2016). Comparison of a Hybrid Neural Network and Semi-distributed Simulator for Stream Flow Prediction. In: Tahir, W., Abu Bakar, P., Wahid, M., Mohd Nasir, S., Lee, W. (eds) ISFRAM 2015. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-0500-8_10

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics