Abstract
This paper aims to discuss environmental risk management from a new point of view. Although there is a growing literature dealing with the relation between the economy and the environment in the absence of risk and uncertainty, it is quite unfortunate that the effects of a variety of risk factors on such a relation have not been intensively investigated by social scientists. Before 11 March 2011, most people believed in the myth of absolute safety. Since the Great East Japan Earthquake really took place, however, their concept of risk for nuclear power generation has been changed completely. What was once regarded as unthinkable may be a thinkable reality. This clearly indicates the necessity for studying environmental risk management in a new perspective. It is shown that mere applications of the conventional expected utility theory would possibly result in wrong conclusions. In order to newly establish a more realistic theory of decision making under conditions of uncertainty, this paper attempts to combine both economic and noneconomic factors in a more general framework than ever before. There remain many other possibilities for future research.
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Notes
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The concept of black swan was first applied to social sciences by Taleb (2007).
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The introduction of a shift parameter into the utility function is the author’s own idea, which has been rather neglected in the mainstream of microeconomics today.
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It appears that the allocation problem of a thermal power plant was first discussed by Ikeda et al. (2004), even before the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake took place. By writing Chapter 8 in Sawa and Ueda (2002), the author intended to break the myth of absolute safety associated with nuclear power generation.
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In his popular book (1973), Schumacher discussed the question whether nuclear energy was really salvation or damnation. Unfortunately, his pioneering work has been more or less ignored in the academic circle of theoretical economics. However, it is no doubt a subject worthy of more attention: it should be duly incorporated into environmental risk management.
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Investigation into selection of optimal project under true uncertainty remains an underdeveloped area in social sciences. The author intends to mend such unfortunate state by giving an attempted analysis below.
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For a detailed essay on the life and work of the late Prof. Michio Morishima, see Sakai (2011).
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Acknowledgment
This paper is partly funded by the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology through Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C) No. 25512010. Thanks are also due to Mr. Masashi Tajima and staff members of the Center for Risk Research, Shiga University.
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Sakai, Y. (2017). On Environmental Risk Management: The Interactions of Economic and Noneconomic Factors. In: Shibusawa, H., Sakurai, K., Mizunoya, T., Uchida, S. (eds) Socioeconomic Environmental Policies and Evaluations in Regional Science. New Frontiers in Regional Science: Asian Perspectives, vol 24. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-0099-7_23
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-0099-7_23
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