Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in
Book cover

Strong Ground Motion Seismology pp 405–460Cite as

Probabilistic Models for Assessment of Strong Ground Motion

  • Chapter

Part of the book series: NATO ASI Series ((ASIC,volume 204))

Abstract

We present a method for idealizing strong ground motion using a complex stochastic process decomposed in two parts: the first, related to the phenomenon of occurrence, is represented by a Point process; the second, describing ground motion for a given occurrence, is represented by a Continuous Time-dependent process. The convolution of both processes leads to the probabilistic definition of ground motion.

In this review paper we present the three-dimensional space-time-size occurrence model based on geologic and tectonic environment and on historical and instrumental seismicity. In defining ground motion, we identify first and second-order-of-importance parameters and discuss their dependence on source mechanisms and travel path. We endeavor to incorporate all available information, microseismic as well as macroseismic. Finally, we briefly discuss the convolution of the Point process and the Continuous Time-dependent process and the influence of parameter uncertainties on final probability distributions.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   259.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   329.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Azevedo, J. J. (1984) - ‘Characterization of Structural Response to Earthquake Motion’, PhD Dissertation, Dept. Civil Eng., Stanford University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barrodale, I.; Erikson, R. E. (1980)–‘Algorithm for Least Square Linear Prediction and Maximum Entropy’, Geophysics, Vol 45, No 3, pp 420–446.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bender, B. (1984)–‘Incorporating Acceleration Variability into Seismic Hazard Analysis’, Bulletin Seismological Society of America, Vol 74, No 4, pp 1451–1462.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bolt, B. A. (1981) - ‘Interpretation of Strong Ground Motion Records’, Miscellaneous Paper S-73–1, Report 17, State-of-the-Art for Assessing Earthquake Hazards in the United States, U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bolt, B. A.; Abrahamson, N. A. (1982)–‘New Attenuation Relations for Peak and Expected Accelerations of Strong Ground Motion’, Bulletin Seismological Society of America, Vol 72, No 6, pp 2307–2321.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bolt, B. A.; Loh, C. H.; Penzien, J.; Tsai, Y. B.; Yeh, Y. T. (1982) - ‘Preliminary Report on the SMART1 Strong Motion Array in Taiwan’, Report UBC/EERC-82/13, University of California, Berkeley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Borges, J. F.; Castanheta, M. (1971) - ‘Structural Safety’, Laboratorio Nacional de Engenharia Civil, Lisboa.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brune, J. N. (1976)–‘The Physics of Earthquake Strong Motion’ in Seismic Risk and Engineering Decisions., chapter 5, pp 140–177, C. Lomnitz and E. Rosenblueth (editors), Elsevier, Amsterdam.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bouchon, M.; Aki, K. (1982)–‘Strain, Tilt, and Rotation Associated with Strong Ground Motion in the Vicinity of Earthquake Faults’, Bulletin Seismological Society of America, Vol 72, No 5, pp 1717–1738

    Google Scholar 

  • Coffman, J. L.; Godeaux, S. (1985) - ‘A Catalogue of Strong Motion Accelerograph Records’, Report SE-38, World Data Center A for Solid Geophysics, US Dept. Commerce, NOAA, Boulder.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cornell, C. A. (1971) - ‘Probabilistic Analysis of Damage to Structures Under Seismic Loads’, in Dynamic Waves in Civil Engineering, pp 473–494, D. A. Howells, I. P. Haigh and C. Taylor (editors), Wiley Interscience, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Costa, R. A.; Oliveira, C. S. (1985) - ‘Models of the Seismic Stochastic Process of Occurrences in Portugal Considering the Time-Space-Size Interrelations’, Abstract submitted to the 8th Europ. Conf. Earthq. Eng., Lisbon, Sept 1986.

    Google Scholar 

  • DeHerrera, M. (1980) - ‘A Time Domain Analysis of Seismic Ground Motions Based on Geophysical Parameters’, PhD Dissertation, Dept. Civil Eng., Stanford University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Duarte, R. T. (1984)–‘Spatially Variable Ground Motion Models for the Earthquake Design of Bridges and Other Extended Structures’, 8th World Conf. Earthq. Eng., Vol II, pp 613–620, Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

    Google Scholar 

  • Goula, X.; Bouchon, M. (1985) - ‘The Earthquake of June 11, 1909 (France), Part II - Focal Parameter Discrimination by Ground Motion Simulation’, Abstract submitted to the 8th Europ. Conf. Earthq. Eng., Lisbon, Sept 1986.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harichandran, R.; Vanmarcke, E. (1984)–‘Space-Time Variation of Earthquake Ground Motion’, Research Report R84–12, Dept. Civil Eng., Massachussetts Institute of Technology.

    Google Scholar 

  • Joyner, W. B.; Boore, D., M. (1981)–‘Peak Horizontal Acceleration and Velocity from Strong Motion Records from the 1979 Imperial Valley, California, Earthquake’, Bulletin Seismological Society of America, Vol 72, No. 6, pp 2011–2038.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kanasewich, E. R. (1981) - ‘Time Sequence Analysis in Geophysics’, The University of Alberta Press, Canada.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kulkarni, R. B.; Youngs, R. R.; Coppersmith, K. J. (1984)–‘Assessment of Confidence Intervals for Results of Seismic Hazard Analysis’, 8th World Conf. Earthq. Eng., Vol I, pp 263–270, Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

    Google Scholar 

  • Loh, C. H. (1985) - ‘Analysis of the Spatial Variation of Seismic Waves and Ground Movements for SMART1 Array Data’, Journal of Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, in Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Martin-Martin, A. J.; Garcia-Yague, A. (1984)–‘Seismic Risk in the Iberia Peninsula’, 8th World Conf.Earthq. Eng., Vol, pp 181–188, Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

    Google Scholar 

  • McGuire, R. K. (1976)–‘Fortran Computer Program for Seismic Risk Analysis’, US Geological Survey, Open-File Report 76–67.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mendes-Victor, L. A.; Oliveira, C. S.; Matos, D. S.; Carvalho, A. M.; Almeida, J. M.; Nicolau, J. S.; Mendonca, M. E. (1985) - ‘Bases for the Elaboration of a National Earthquake Catalogue’, Abstract submitted to the 8th Europ. Conf. Earthq. Eng., Lisbon, Sept 1986.

    Google Scholar 

  • Munoz, D.; Udias, A. (1982)–‘Historical Development of Spain’s Catalogues of Earthquakes’, Bulletin Seismological Society of America, Vol 72, No 3, pp 1039–1042.

    Google Scholar 

  • Newmark, N. M. (1969) - ‘Torsion in Symmetrical Buildings’, Proc. 4th World Conf. Earthq. Engin., Vol A3.19-A3.32, Santiago do Chile.

    Google Scholar 

  • Newmark, N. M.; Rosenblueth, E. (1971) - Fundamentals of Earthquake Engineering’, Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

    Google Scholar 

  • Niazi, M. (1985) - ‘Inferred Displacements, Velocities and Rotations of a Long Rigid Foundation at El-Centro Differential Array Site During the 1979 Imperial Valley Earthquake’, Journal of Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, in Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Oliveira, C. S. (1978) - ‘Seismic Risk Studies for San Francisco and for the Greater San Francisco Bay Area’, Report No. UCB/EERC-78/16, University of California, Berkeley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Oliveira, C. S.; Costa, A. C. (1983) - Analytical Studies of Old Church Towers under Seismic Loads’, Poster presented at the Int. Assoc. Bridges Str. Eng., IABSE Symposium, Venice.

    Google Scholar 

  • Oliveira, C. S.; Costa, A. C. (1984)–‘Updating Seismic Hazard Maps’, 8th World Conf. Earthq. Eng., Vol I, pp 303–310, Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

    Google Scholar 

  • Oliveira, C. S.; Penzien, P. (1985) - ‘Spatial Variation of Seismic Ground Motion Based on SMART-1 Array Data’, Paper presented at the Earthquake Engineering Lifeline Seminar, National Taiwan University, Taipei.

    Google Scholar 

  • Penzien, J.; Watabe, M. (1975) - ‘Characteristics of 3-Dimensional Earthquake Ground Motions’, Journal of Earthauake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, Vol 3, pp JOS-3/3.

    Google Scholar 

  • Penzien, J. (1985) - ‘Lecture Notes on Earthquake Engineering Analysis’, University of California, Berkeley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pereira, J.; Oliveira, C. S.; Duarte, R. T. (1977)–‘Direct and Indirect Conversions from Power Spectra to Response Spectra’, 6th World Conf. Earthq. Eng., Vol 2, pp 279–284.

    Google Scholar 

  • Scherer, R. J.; Schueller, G. I. (1982)–‘On the Correlation Between xyz-components of Earthquake Accelerations’, 7th Europ. Conf. Earthq. Eng., Vol 2 pp 169–177.

    Google Scholar 

  • Slemmons, D. B. (1977) - ‘Faults and Earthquake Magnitude’, Miscellaneous Paper S-73–1, Report 6, State-of-the-Art for Assessing Earthquake Hazards in the United States, U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tilliouine, B.; Azevedo, J. J.; Shah, H. C. (1984) - ‘A Computer Program for Nonstationary Analysis and Simulation of Stong Motion Earthquake Records’, The John A. Blume Earthq. Eng. Center, Report no.63, Stanford University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Van Gills, M. (1983) - ‘The Earthquake Catalogue of the Europ. Econ. Commun. Countries’, paper presented at the 2nd CSNI Specialist Meeting for Probabilistic Methods in Seismic Risk Assessment for Nuclear Power Plants, Livermore.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yim, C-S.; Chopra, A. C.; Penzien, P. (1980) - ‘Rocking Response of Rigid Blocks to Earthquakes’, Report No. UBC/EERC-80/02, University of California, Berkeley.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Structures Department, Laboratorio Nacional de Engenharia Civil, Av. do Brasil, 1799, Lisboa Codex, Portugal

    Carlos S. Oliveira

Authors
  1. Carlos S. Oliveira
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Earthquake Engineering Research Center, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey

    Mustafa Özder Erdik

  2. Earth Resources Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA

    M. Nafi Toksöz

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1987 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Oliveira, C.S. (1987). Probabilistic Models for Assessment of Strong Ground Motion. In: Erdik, M.Ö., Toksöz, M.N. (eds) Strong Ground Motion Seismology. NATO ASI Series, vol 204. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-3095-2_15

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-3095-2_15

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-90-481-8440-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-017-3095-2

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Search

Navigation