Abstract
As part of the International Joint Commission (IJC) Levels Reference Study, seasonal flood risk levels were developed for selected U.S. and Canadian sites on the shores of the Great Lakes. Flood risk levels were computed through the convolution of frequency distributions which best fit the maximum seasonal monthly static water levels (lake level) for a given regulation scenario and the maximum seasonal historic storm rises (or storm surges) recorded at the site. The Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources computer program, HYDSTAT, was used initially for the combined frequency analysis. It was found in HYDSTAT that the selection criteria for the “bestfit” distributions were biased and the refitting procedures were unjustified. The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) is used to select the “best fit” distribution. At each site, the effect of the proposed regulation schemes on the seasonal flood risk levels are compared with those of the present hydraulic regime.
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References
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© 1994 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
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Chow, K.C.A., Lee, D.H., Fay, D. (1994). Hydrologic Impact of Regulation Scenarios on Flood Risk Levels on the Great Lakes. In: Hipel, K.W., Fang, L. (eds) Stochastic and Statistical Methods in Hydrology and Environmental Engineering. Water Science and Technology Library, vol 10/2. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-3081-5_18
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-3081-5_18
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-90-481-4380-1
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