Skip to main content

The Fifth 5-Year Program for Earthquake Prediction in Japan

  • Chapter
Practical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction and Warning

Abstract

The fourth period of the Japanese national program for earthquake prediction will expire in March, 1984. In June of 1983, the fifth 5-year plan for the next period was proposed by the Geodetic Council, Ministry of Education, Japan. Prior to establishment of the new plan the results in the fourth period were critically reviewed. The new plan, as well as the review, is briefly described in this paper. Several precursors have been clearly observed before some earthquakes with magnitudes around 7, but, on the other hand, observations have also revealed a remarkably complicated appearance of precursors. Therefore, earthquake prediction should be based on a synthesis of various observed phenomena. Taking this into account, the new plan put its emphasis on the efforts to increase the accuracy of prediction, though the items of observations are not so different from those in the fourth period.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Geodetic Council, Report on the progress of the fourth program for promotion of earthquake prediction, Japanese Scientific Monthly (Gakujutsu-geppo), 35, 542–559, 1982 (in Japanese).

    Google Scholar 

  • Geodetic Council, On the promotion of the fifth program on earthquake prediction (Proposal), Japanese Scientific Monthly (Gakujutsu-geppo), 36, 434–443, 1983 (in Japanese).

    Google Scholar 

  • National Land Agency, Large-Scale Earthquake Countermeasures Act, Law No. 73 (1978.6.7), National Land Policy Series, No. 6–2, 1978.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rikitake, T., Earthquake Prediction, 357 pp., Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1967.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rikitake, T., Earthquake Forecasting and Warning, 402 pp., Center for Academic Publications Japan/Reidel, Tokyo, 1982.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tsuboi, C., K. Wadati, and T. Hagiwara, Prediction of Earthquakes—Progress to Date and Plans for Further Development, Report of Earthquake Prediction Research Group, Japan, 21 pp., Earthquake Reearch Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 1962.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yamazaki, Y., Precursory and coseismic resistivity changes, Pageoph, 219–227, 1975.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yamazaki, Y., Resistivity change at Aburatsubo associated with the Izu-Oshima-kinkai earthquake of 1978-A ecord of the 73 Hz resistivity variometer, Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst., Univ. Tokyo, 53, 973–985, 1978 (in Japanese).

    Google Scholar 

  • Wakita, H., Precursory changes in groundwater prior to the 1978 Izu-Oshima-kinkai earthquake, Earthquake Prediction—An International Review, edited by D. W. Simpson and P. G. Richards, pp. 527–532, Maurice Ewing Series 4, Am. Geophys. Union, Washington, D.C., 1981.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1985 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Suzuki, Z. (1985). The Fifth 5-Year Program for Earthquake Prediction in Japan. In: Kisslinger, C., Rikitake, T. (eds) Practical Approaches to Earthquake Prediction and Warning. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-2738-9_1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-2738-9_1

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-90-481-8421-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-017-2738-9

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics