Abstract
Much has been said and written about what the public expects from science: resolving, or at least reducing, uncertainty. Scientists are requested to give definite answers to societal questions. There are simple and one-dimensional questions that can be unambiguously answered by science, such as effects of smoking on lung functions. However, the majority of urgent societal questions pertain to complex issues, such as increasing poverty, climate change and European integration. Such complex issues involve inherent uncertainty. Scientists are, for example, unable to give confident answers about the magnitude of global climate change or even whether a region will warm or cool. Uncertainty thus has major political and ethical impacts, as the need to decide whether or not to act, as well as what kind of action to take, requires deciding about uncertainty2.
A condensed version of this Chapter has been submitted to Risk Analysis and is also available in the format of an ICIS working paper. (van Asselt 1999)
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van Asselt, M.B.A. (2000). Uncertainty. In: Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-2583-5_3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-2583-5_3
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