Abstract
Decision making under uncertainty is a common problem in the real world. Decision analysis provides a method that helps the decision maker to select an appropriate decision alternative in the face of uncertain environment. Traditional decision analysis is based on Bayesian probability theory and utility theory. The uncertain states of nature are represented by probabilities, and the optimal decision is the one that optimizes its expected utility, where the expectation is taken by using the probability function that represents the uncertainty about which state of affair will prevail. Decision Tree [Raiffa, 19681 was one of the first frameworks for representing and solving decision problems. However, this approach is not widely accepted into practice due to their weakness of modeling uncertainty, modeling information constraints, and the combinatorial explosiveness for a complicated problem.
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Xu, H. (2000). Network-Based Decision Algorithms. In: Kohlas, J., Moral, S. (eds) Handbook of Defeasible Reasoning and Uncertainty Management Systems. Handbook of Defeasible Reasoning and Uncertainty Management Systems, vol 5. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-1737-3_11
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-1737-3_11
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