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Expected Optimal Exercise Time of a Perpetual American Option: A Closed-form Solution

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Abstract

Using martingale methods, we find that the expected optimal exercise time of a perpetual, dividend-paying American call option contract is: the ratio of the time-independent stopping boundary to the risk-adjusted drift of the stock price process. This ratio is an analytical expression. Of independent interest is the computational simplicity of our derivation. Specifically, we use only the optional sampling theorem of martingale theory and elementary algebra. In contrast, the non-martingale approach requires tedious integration and solution of an ordinary differential equation.

I am particularly indebted to Profs. I. Karatzas and M. Tamarkin for advice and encouragement as well as to E. Henning for technical comments. Finally, this research was partially supported by the Institute for Mathematics and its Applications—University of Minnesota, with funds provided by the U.S. National Science Foundation.

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Yaksick, R. (1995). Expected Optimal Exercise Time of a Perpetual American Option: A Closed-form Solution. In: Janssen, J., Skiadas, C.H., Zopounidis, C. (eds) Advances in Stochastic Modelling and Data Analysis. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-0663-6_2

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-0663-6_2

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-90-481-4574-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-017-0663-6

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