Skip to main content

Potential Allowable Cut of Finland Using the AHP to Model Landowners’ Strategic Decision Making

  • Chapter
The Analytic Hierarchy Process in Natural Resource and Environmental Decision Making

Part of the book series: Managing Forest Ecosystems ((MAFE,volume 3))

  • 744 Accesses

Abstract

This paper analyses the potential allowable cut of Finland based on nonindustrial private forest (NIPF) landowners’ choices as to timber management strategies. Alternative timber management strategies were generated, and the choices and factors affecting the preference of strategies by NIPF landowners were studied. Timber management strategy choices were determined by maximising the utility functions of the NIPF landowners. The parameters of the utility functions were estimated using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The level of the potential allowable cut was compared to cutting budgets based on the 7th and 8th national forest inventories (NFI7 and NFI8), to combined private forestry plans, and to the actual harvest from nonindustrial private forests. The potential allowable cut was calculated using the same MELA system as has been used in the calculation of the national cutting budget. The potential allowable cut defined in the study was 19% higher than the average of the actual harvest during the years 1989–1994. Correspondingly, the potential allowable cut defined in the present study was 13% lower than the NFI8-based greatest sustained allowable cut for the 1990s. Using the method presented in this study, which is based on choices of timber management strategies, regular cutting budgets can be calculated more realistically than before.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Apostolou, B. and Hassell, J. M. 1993. An empirical examination of the sensitivity of the analytic hierarchy process to departures from recommended consistency ratios. Mathematical and Computer Modelling 17: 163–170.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boyd, R. G. 1984. Government support of nonindustrial production: The case of private forests. South. J. Ecoa 51:89–107.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Forest 2000 Program. 1985. Main Report. Council of Economics. Section of the Forest 2000 Program.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hansson, K., Lönnstedt, L. and Svensson, J. 1990. Decision support system for nonindustrial private forest owners. Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. Dep. For.Ind.Market Studies. Rep. 12.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hirshleifer, J. 1984. Price theory and applications. Prentice-Hall. 536 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hyberg, B. T. 1987. Multiattribute decision theory and forest management: A discussion and application. Forest Science 33: 835–845.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnson, K. N. and Jones, D. B. 1986. A user’s guide to multiple use — sustained yield resource scheduling calculation (MUSYC): Timber management, USDA Forest Service, Washington DC.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jonsson, B., Jacobsson, J. and Kallur, H. 1993. The forest management planning package. Theory and application. Studia Forestalia Suecica 189. 56 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kajanus, M, Kurttila, M. and Pesonen, M. 1998. A simultaneous equation model for predicting the production frontier of a forest holding. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 28:1851–1860.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kangas, J. 1992. Multiple-use planning of forest resources by using the Analytic Hierarchy Process. Scand. J. For. Res. 7: 259–268.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kangas, J. and Pukkala, T. 1992. A decision theoretic approach applied to goal programming of forest management. Silva Fennica 26:169–176.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kast, E. K. and Rosenzweig, J. E. 1974. Organization and management. A systems approach. Second edition. 389 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kilkki, P. 1968. Income-oriented cutting budget. Acta Forestalia Fennica 91:1–54.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kilkki, P., Maltamo, M., Mykkänen, R. and Päivinen, R. 1989. Use of the Weibull function in estimating the basal area dbh-distribution. Silva Fennica 23: 311–318.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kilkki, P. and Siitonen, M. 1976. Principles of a Forest Information System. XVI IUFRO World Congress, Division IV. Proceedings, p. 154–163.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kurttila, M, Pesonen, M., Kangas, J. and Kajanus, M. 1998. Utilizing the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) in SWOT analysis — A hybrid method and its application to a forest-certification case. Forest Policy and Economics. In print.

    Google Scholar 

  • Laasasenaho, J. and Päivinen, R. 1986. Kuvioittaisen arvioinnin tarkistamisesta. Summary: On the checking of inventory by compartments. Folia Forestalia 664. 19 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Laskey, K. B. and Fischer, G. W. 1987. Estimating utility functions in the presence of response error. Manage. Sci. 33:965–980.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lönnstedt, L. 1989. Goals and cutting decisions of private small forest owners. Scand. J. For. Res. 4:259–265.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lönnstedt, L. and Törnqvist, T. 1990. The Owner, the Estate and the External Influences: Nonindustrial private forest owners’ management decisions. Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. Dep. of Forest-Industry-Market Studies. Report No. 14. Uppsala, Sweden.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lönnstedt, L and Roos, A. 1993. Cutting Levels for Nonindustrial Forestry: An estimate based on the state of forests and the goals of forest owners. Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. Dep. of Forest-Industry-Market Studies. Report No. 26. Uppsala, Sweden.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mendoza, G. A. and Sprouse, W. 1989. Forest planning and decision making under fuzzy environments: An overview and illustration. Forest Science 35: 481–502.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mykkänen, R. 1994. Aspiration-based utility functions in a planning model for timber flow manangement. Acta Forestalia Fennica 245. 66 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pesonen, M. 1995. Nonindustrial private forest landowners’ choices of timber management strategies and potential allowable cut. Acta Forestalia Fennica 247. 31 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pesonen, M. 1996. Estimation of potential allowable cut using modeling of landowners’ strategic decision making. Dissertation. Finnish Forest Research institute, Research Papers 625. 56+ 83 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pesonen, M., Kettunen, A., Heikkinen V.-P. and Räsänen, P. 1994. Yksityismetsänomistajien puuntuotantostrategi at ja potentiaaliset hakkuumahdollisuudet Pohjois-Savossa. Metsäntutkimuslaitoksen tiedonantoja 515. 50 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pesonen, M. and Räsänen, P. 1993. Metsäverovalinta — strateginen ratkaisu. Metsäntutkimuslaitoksen tiedonantoja 472. 78 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pesonen, M. and Soimasuo J. 1998. Tilakohtaisen kestävyyden vaikutus suuralueen kestäviin hakkuumahdollisuuksiin — tapaustutkimus Satakunnan metsälautakunnan alueella. Metsätieteen aikakauskirja — Folia Forestalia 1/1998: 43–51.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pihljerta, K. 1994. Maatilalaskennan tilastoja 1988–1994. Verohallitus.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pukkala, T. and Kangas, J. 1993. A heuristic optimization method for forest planning and decision making. Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research 8: 560–570.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ranta, R. 1991. Metsätalouden suunnittelulaskelmat. In: Tapion taskukirja. 21. painos. Kustannusosakeyhtiö Metsälehti, p. 334–337.

    Google Scholar 

  • Saaty, T. L. 1977. A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures. Journal of Mathematical Psychology 15: 234–281.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Saaty, T. L. 1980. The Analytic Hierarchy Process. McGraw-Hill. New York. 287 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sevola, Y. (Eds.) 1998. Metsätilastollinen vuosikirja 1998-Skogsstatistisk årsbok-Finnish Statistical Yearbook of Forestry. 348 p. SVT Maa-ja metsätalous 1997:4. 348 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Siitonen, M. 1983. A Long-Term Forestry Planning System Based on Data from the Finnish National Forest Inventory. Proceedings of the IUFRO subject group 4.02 meeting in Finland. University of Helsinki, Dep. of Forest Mensuration and Management, Research Notes 17. p. 195–207.

    Google Scholar 

  • Siitonen, M. 1993. Experiences in the Use of Forest Management Planning Models. Silva Fennica 27 (2). p. 167–178.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tell, B. 1976. A comparative study of some multiple-criteria methods. The Economic Research Institute at the Stockholm School of Economics. 203 p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wardle, P. A. 1965. Forest management and operational research: a linear programming study. Ser. B, Management science 11: 260–270.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ware, G. O. and Clutter, J. L. 1971. Mathematical programming system for the management of industrial forests. Forest Science 17(4): 428–445.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wedley, W. C. 1993. Consistency prediction for incomplete AHP matrices. Mathematical and Computer Modelling. 17: 151–161.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • von Winterfeldt, D. and Edwards, W. 1986. Decision analysis and behavioral research. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge. 604 p.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2001 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Pesonen, M. (2001). Potential Allowable Cut of Finland Using the AHP to Model Landowners’ Strategic Decision Making. In: Schmoldt, D.L., Kangas, J., Mendoza, G.A., Pesonen, M. (eds) The Analytic Hierarchy Process in Natural Resource and Environmental Decision Making. Managing Forest Ecosystems, vol 3. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-9799-9_11

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-9799-9_11

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-90-481-5735-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-015-9799-9

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics