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A Glance at Non-Standard Models and Logics of Uncertainty and Vagueness

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Philosophy of Probability

Part of the book series: Philosophical Studies Series ((PSSP,volume 56))

Abstract

Historically, it is well known that the notion of probability emerged in the 17th century as a dual concept: chance, related to gaming problems, and subjective uncertainty, related to the question of reliability of testimonies. In the works of pioneers of probability theory, such as J. Bernoulli, chance, very soon connected to frequency of occurrence, was an additive notion but subjective probability was not so. However with the development of physical sciences, the non-additive side of probability was forgotten (see Shafer, 1978). So much so as 20th century researchers in decision theory have devoted much effort in the non-frequentist justification of additive probability as a model for subjective uncertainty in rational decision strategies.

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Dubois, D., Prade, H. (1993). A Glance at Non-Standard Models and Logics of Uncertainty and Vagueness. In: Dubucs, JP. (eds) Philosophy of Probability. Philosophical Studies Series, vol 56. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8208-7_9

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