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Diverging Distributions

  • David Miller
Chapter
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Part of the Philosophical Studies Series book series (PSSP, volume 56)

Abstract

In this paper I want to consider the question of whether probability distributions can go chaotic. This question has two aspects—no doubt more—that I shall try to emphasize: (A) might increasing evidence force a probability distribution into random or (pseudorandom) fluctuations? (B) might very small variations in a prior distribution lead to very large and uncontrollable variations in the posterior distribution? I have to say at once that, although I hope to offer some interesting and suggestive examples, I have no decently developed answers to these questions. But I shall try to say something about their significance. As befits a workshop contribution, my talk is no more than a report of incomplete work, intermittently in progress. If I succeed in drawing attention to some little noticed possibilities, I shall be satisfied.

Keywords

Subjective Probability Stable Limit Cycle Approximate Distribution Open Court Publishing Relevant Initial Condition 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 1993

Authors and Affiliations

  • David Miller
    • 1
  1. 1.University of WarwickCoventryUK

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