Abstract
In order to estimate potential changes in Welsh water resources under a double-CO2 scenario, a simple methodology is developed based upon Welsh Water yield models and empirical estimates of effective precipitation. The results suggest that even in the best estimate scenario there will be a sizeable reduction in overflows during summer, and that smaller upland catchments and reservoirs in the lower rainfall areas are most vulnerable. A general increase in spring rainfall may offset these effects somewhat, so that the higher risk of an extreme 5-month drought like 1984 is slightly ameliorated.
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© 1996 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
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Holt, C.P., Jones, J.A.A. (1996). Sensitivity Analyses for the Impact of Global Warming on Water Resources in Wales. In: Jones, J.A.A., Liu, C., Woo, MK., Kung, HT. (eds) Regional Hydrological Response to Climate Change. The GeoJournal Library, vol 38. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-5676-9_18
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-5676-9_18
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