Abstract
The evolution of hydrological system modeling is reviewed under two headings: descriptive modeling which aims to enhance our understanding of catchment system behavior, and prescriptive modeling which is directed towards the solution of engineering problems. Progress in descriptive physically based modeling has been initially slow but some catchment-scale models and modeling systems are now emerging. Although a large amount of effort has been invested in prescriptive modeling, this research has not followed any well defined development path, and there has been an excessive proliferation of models without achieving any real advances in predictive capacity. There has also been an excessive preoccupation with the pursuit of systems methodology as an end in itself. However, “technique-driven” research has now started to give way to a desire to gain a more fundamental understanding of causal mechanisms within the rainfall-runoff process. This new fundamentalist trend in hydrological system modeling holds exciting prospects for the future.
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O’Connell, P.E. (1991). A Historical Perspective. In: Bowles, D.S., O’Connell, P.E. (eds) Recent Advances in the Modeling of Hydrologic Systems. NATO ASI Series, vol 345. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-3480-4_1
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