Abstract
The Netherlands Scientific Council for Government Policy has developed a methodology that can be used to gather information on options for long-term developments in agriculture in relation to policy objectives. In this paper it is shown how quantitative relations between a number of self-contained technical development processes in agriculture, and socio-economic and environmental policy objectives can be modelled. This model can be used to demonstrate the influence of various policy preferences on future land use changes within the European Community.
A dynamic crop simulation model and a geographical information system that comprise soil characteristics, climatic conditions and crop properties have been used to calculate regional yield potentials for indicator crops. Next a linear programming model that contains several policy derived objective functions is applied to calculate optimal regional allocation of land use. Different sets of restrictions can be put to the objective functions. In this way a number of scenarios is created that reflect different weights given to the policy goals.
In this paper the methodology is described and the potential as well as the flexibility of the approach is illustrated.
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© 1993 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
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van Latesteijn, H.C. (1993). A methodological framework to explore long-term options for land use. In: de Vries, F.P., Teng, P., Metselaar, K. (eds) Systems approaches for agricultural development. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-2842-1_27
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-2842-1_27
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
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