Abstract
The monthly surveys of the Munich Institut für Konjunkturforschung must be considered as an interesting attempt to supply economic information of a type which is otherwise not readily available. They give us percentages of entrepreneurs of a great many branches of industry whose prices, stocks, production, etc. have increased, decreased or remained constant as compared with the preceding month; and, hence, they tell us something about the development of certain microvariables over time, whereas the usual published material gives no more than macrovalues.
*This article first appeared in the Review of the International Statistical Institute, 20 (1952) 105-120. Reprinted here with the permission of the International Statistical Institute.
1The author had valuable discussions with Messrs. J. van Uzeren and J.W.E. Vos of the Central Bureau of Statistics (The Hague), who also supplied him the material of Diagram 7, and with Mr. H.J. Prins of the Mathematical Centre (Amsterdam), who mentioned Mr. Skellam’s paper. He is indebted to Mr. G. Podt of the Central Planning Bureau for his computations. The table of the difference between two Poisson variates has been prepared by the Computation Department of the Mathematical Centre.
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References
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© 1992 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
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Theil, H. (1992). On the Time Shape of Economic Microvariables and the Munich Business Test. In: Raj, B., Koerts, J. (eds) Henri Theil’s Contributions to Economics and Econometrics. Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, vol 23. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-2546-8_16
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