Abstract
Most oil supply models refer exclusively to North America. Models covering other regions or the world situation as a whole are much rarer. In addition, their forecasts of oil supply tend to be based on estimates of final resources and cumulative production trends rather than on a sequential representation of exploration, development and production.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Adelman, M. A., Houghton, J.C., Kaufman, G. et al. (1983) Energy Resources in an Uncertain Future, Ballier, Cambridge Mass., p. 434.
Adelman, M. A. and Jacoby, A. D. (1979) Alternative Methods of Oil Supply Forecasting, in Advances in the Economics of Energy and Resources (ed. R. Pindyck, vol. 2, JAI Press, Greenwich, Connecticut. pp. 1–38.
Arrow, K. J. and Chang, S. (1982) Optimal Pricing, Use and Exploration of Uncertain Nature Resource Stocks. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 9, 1–10.
Attanasi E. D. (1984) A Note on Petroleum Industry Exploration Efficiency. Energy Journal, 5, 133–85.
Bing, P.C. (1987) A Model of Exploratory Drilling in Western Canada, IAEE, Ninth International Conference, Calgary, 6–8 July, p. 707–17.
Bohi D. R. and Toman, M. A. (1986) Analyzing Nonrenewable Resource Supply. Research Project 1220–1. Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, Ca.
Broadman, H. G. (1985) Incentives and Constraints on Exploratory Drilling for Petroleum in Developing Countries, Annual Revue Energy, no. 10, pp. 217–49.
Cairns, R. D. (1986) ‘The Economics of Energy and Mineral Exploration: a Survey.’ IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria (mimeo).
CERI (Canadian Energy Research Institute) (1988) World Oil Market Model; Documentation and Operating Procedures. CERI, Calgary, December, p. 65.
Choucri, N. Heye, Ch. and Lynch, M. (1990) Analyzing Oil Production in Developing Countries: a Case Study of Egypt, Energy Journal, 1, 91–115.
Clark, P. Coene, P. and Logan, D. (1981) A Comparison of Ten U.S. Oil and Gas Supply Models, Resource and Energy, 3, 297–335.
Cox, J. C. and Wright, A. W. (1976) The Determinants of Investments in Petroleum Reserves and their Implications for Public Policy, American Economic Review, 66 153–67.
Desbarats, C. M. (1989) Empirical Modelling of Canadian Petroleum Exploration Activity. OIES Papers on Energy Economics, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, June, p. 81.
Devarajan, S. and Fisher, A. C. (1982) Exploration and Scarcity Journal of Political Economy, 90(6).
Epple, D. N. (1975) Petroleum Discoveries and Government Policy: an Econometric Study of Supply. Ballinger, Cambridge, Mass., p. 139.
Epple, D. N. (1985) The Econometrics of Exhaustible Resource Supply: a Theory and Application, in Energy, Foresight and Strategy (ed. Thomas J. Sargent). Resources for the Future, Washington, DC.
Gaudet, G. and Hung, N. M. (1986) Théorie économique des ressources non renouvelables: quelques éléments de synthèse, Quebec, Université Laval.
Gilbert, R. (1979) Search Strategies and Private Incentives for Resource Exploration, in Advances in the Economics of Energy and Resources (ed. R. Pindyck). vol 2, JAI Press, pp. 149–70.
Kaufman, G. M. (1979) Models and Methods for Estimating Undiscovered Oil and Gas; What they Do and Do Not Do, in Methods and Models for Assessing Energy Resources (First IIASA Conference on Energy Resources, 20–21 May 1975) (ed. Michel Grenon), Pergamon Press, Oxford pp. 173–85.
Kaufman, G. M. (1983) Oil and Gas Estimation of Undiscovered Resources, in Energy Resources in an Uncertain Future; Coal, Gas, Oil and Uranium Supply Forecasting (eds M. A. Adelman et al.). Ballinger, Cambridge, Mass.
Macavoy, P. and Pindyck, R. Alternative Regulatory Policies for Dealing with the Natural Gas Shortage. Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science, 4, 454–98.
Moroney, J. and Bremmer, D. (1987) An Integrated Regional Petroleum Model, in Advances in the Economics of Energy Resources (ed. J. Moroney), vol. 6, JAI Press, Greenwich, Connecticut, pp. 187–220.
Nielssen, T. and Nystand, A. (1986) Optimum Exploration and Extraction in a Petroleum Basin. Resources and Energy, no. 8, pp. 219–30.
Pakravan, K. (1977) A Model of Oil Production Development and Exploration. Journal of Energy and Development, 3, 143–53.
Peterson, F. (1978) A Model of Mining and Exploring for Exhaustible Resource. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 5, 236–51.
Pindyck, R. (1978) The Optimal Exploration and Production of Nonrenewable Resouces. Journal of Political Economy, 86, 841–61.
Pindyck R. (1980) Uncertainty and Exhaustible Resources Markets. Journal of Political Economy, 88, 1203–25.
Rodriguez Padilla, V. (1990) ‘L’impact de la fiscalité sur l’effort d’exploration-production de pétrole; le cas des pays producteurs d’Africa de l’Ouest. PhD thesis, Institut d’Economie et de Polique de l’Energie, Université de Sciences Sociales de Grenoble, p. 520.
Ryan, D. and Livernois, J. (1985) Testing for non-Jointness in Oil and Gas Exploration: A Variable Profit Function Approach? Discussion Paper No. 85–6, University of Calgary.
Scarfe B. L. and Rilkoff, E. (1984) Financing Oil and Gas Exploration and Development Activity. Economic Council of Canada, Discussion Paper No. 274.
Siddayao, C. M. (1980) The Supply of Petroleum Reserves in South-east Asia; Economic Implications of Evolving Property Rights Arrangements. Oxford University Press, Oxford, p. 240.
Uhler, R. S. and Eglington, P. (1983) The Potential Supply of Crude Oil and Natural Gas Reserves in the Alberta Basin. Monograph prepared for the Economic Council of Canada, Ottawa.
US Department of Energy (DOE) (1979) Nigeria — An Assessment of Crude Potential. Analysis Report DOE/EIA-0184/14, Washington, DC, p. 26.
US Department of Energy (DOE) (1981) Middle East-Crude Oil Potential from Know Deposit. Analysis Report DOE/EIA-0289, Washington, DC, p. 143.
US Department of Energy (DOE) (1978) Midterm Oil and Gas Supply Modeling System Methodology Description. Technical Memorandum TM/ES/79–05. Washington, DC p. 43.
Woods, T. J. and Vidas, H. (1983) Projecting Hydrocarbon Production and Cost: an Integrated Approach. Journal of Energy and Development, Spring, pp. 267–82.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1992 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Padilla, V.R. (1992). Modelling oil exploration. In: Sterner, T. (eds) International Energy Economics. International Studies in Economic Modelling. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-2334-1_8
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-2334-1_8
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-94-010-5031-9
Online ISBN: 978-94-011-2334-1
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive