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Earthquake Predictions from Fault Movement and Strain Precursors in California

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Book cover Earthquake Displacement Fields and the Rotation of the Earth

Part of the book series: Astrophysics and Space Science Library ((ASSL,volume 20))

Abstract

Fault movement on the San Andreas system has been observed to vary in time and place. Variations in movement with time at a particular place along the fault have been shown to often precede earthquakes of magnitude 4.5–5.5. Where the fault moves regularly, the variations consist of the fault sticking until several centimeters of strain are stored. The amount of strain stored and released corresponds reasonably well with other observations of magnitude vs. strain. Where the fault has not moved regularly during the past ten years, evidence from several types of surveys indicate general compression of the area. Compression events of about six months duration and of about 10–15 cm over about 20 km have been observed to precede earthquakes in these areas.

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References

  • Hoffman, R. B.: 1968, California Department of Water Resources, Bulletin No. 116-6, ‘Geodimeter Fault Measurements in California’.

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  • Hofmann, R. B.: 1968, ‘Recent Changes in California Fault Movement’, in Proceedings of Conference on Geologic Problem of San Andreas Fault System, Stanford University.

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  • Hofmann, R. B.: 1969, ‘Earthquake Prediction from Fault Movement Monitoring in California’ in Summaries of Joint U.S.-Japan Conference — Premonitory Phenomena Associated with Several Recent Earthquakes and Related Problems, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union 50, No. 5.

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© 1970 D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland

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Hofmann, R.B. (1970). Earthquake Predictions from Fault Movement and Strain Precursors in California. In: Mansinha, L., Smylie, D.E., Beck, A.E. (eds) Earthquake Displacement Fields and the Rotation of the Earth. Astrophysics and Space Science Library, vol 20. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-3308-4_23

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-3308-4_23

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-94-010-3310-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-010-3308-4

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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