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Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art/Comments

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Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs

Part of the book series: Theory and Decision Library ((TDLU,volume 16))

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Abstract

I like the general orientation of the paper. It is a useful summary of a body of work done in empirically evaluating probability assessments and statements concerning confidence. I would like, however, to make several specific comments.

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References

  • Brown, R.V., Kahr, A.S., Peterson, C., Decision analysis for the manager., New York: Holt, Rinehart, Winston, 1974.

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  • Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., Phillips, L.D. Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art. This volume

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  • Sanders, F. The verification of probability forecasts, Journal of Applied Meteorology, 1966, 6, 756–761.

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  • Schaefer, R.E. The evaluation of individual and aggregated subjective probability distributions., Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 1976, 2, 199–210.

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  • Wallsten, T.S. Measurement and interpretation of beliefs., This volume

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© 1977 D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht-Holland

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Borcherding, K. (1977). Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art/Comments. In: Jungermann, H., De Zeeuw, G. (eds) Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs. Theory and Decision Library, vol 16. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-1276-8_20

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-1276-8_20

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-94-010-1278-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-010-1276-8

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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