Abstract
Dynamics of crimes reflects important aspects of sustainability of our society and the risk of its destabilisation — a prelude to a disaster. Here, we consider a prominent feature of crime dynamics — surge of the homicides in a megacity. Our study integrates the professional expertise of the police officers and of the scientists working on pattern recognition of infrequent events. The latter is a type of artificial intelligence methodology that has been successful in predicting infrequently occurring phenomena that result from highly complex processes.
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Keilis-Borok, V.I., Gascon, D.J., Soloviev, A.A., Intriligator, M.D., Pichardo, R., Winberg, F.E. (2003). On Predictability of Homicide Surges in Megacities. In: Beer, T., Ismail-Zadeh, A. (eds) Risk Science and Sustainability. NATO Science, vol 112. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-0167-0_9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-0167-0_9
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