Energy Economy Modeling Scenarios for China and Shandong

  • Socrates Kypreos
  • Robert A. Krakowski
  • Alexander Röder
  • Zhihong Wei
  • Wenying Chen
Part of the Alliance for Global Sustainability Bookseries book series (AGSB, volume 4)


In the year 2000, China generated 1’350 TWh/yr of electricity, representing a 9.5 percent annual rate of increase and an installed capacity of 316 GWe (more than 50 percent of installed capacity in the US). The reduced growth rates over the last few years caused by the Asian financial crisis of 1998 appear to be rebounding to stronger levels and indicate the healthy recovery of the Chinese economy (Zhao 2000). China’s GDP rose by 8.2 percent in the first half of 2000, greater growth than in either of the two previous years in their entirety. Even with any eventual tapering of these high GDP growth rates to a still-robust four to five percent a year, the demand for electric power is expected to nearly triple to around 4’000 TWh annually by the year 2030. Significant degradation of already seriously deteriorated environmental (air and water) quality is expected if this growing demand for electrical energy is provided by coal using present technologies without scrubbers at the present level of use.


Discount Rate Shandong Province Income Elasticity Electricity Demand Integrate Gasification Combine Cycle 
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© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2003

Authors and Affiliations

  • Socrates Kypreos
  • Robert A. Krakowski
  • Alexander Röder
  • Zhihong Wei
  • Wenying Chen

There are no affiliations available

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