Confirmation and Corroboration
Empirical knowledge in some sense of the word ‘knowledge’ exists. But in other senses — for example in the sense of certain knowledge, or of demonstrable knowledge — it does not. And we must not assume, uncritically, that we have ‘probable’ knowledge — knowledge that is probable in the sense of the calculus of probability. It is indeed my contention that we do not have probable knowledge in this sense. For I believe that what we call ‘empirical’ knowledge, including ‘scientific knowledge’, consists of guesses, and that many of these guesses arc not probable (or have a probability zero) even though they may be very well corroborated.
KeywordsSevere Test Universal Generalization Auxiliary Hypothesis Probable Knowledge Popperian Program
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