Abstract
Recently developed energy scenarios for the future show a heavy dependence on fossil fuels. Based on a tandem model of the global carbon cycle, and on estimates of the temperature effect relationship, the impact of various future energy scenarios on atmospheric CO2-concentration and global average temperature are calculated. It is found that several scenarios would lead to drastic changes in atmospheric CO2-concentration. It is also pointed to the fact that, after detecting a CO2-signal, long lead times are expected during which atmospheric CO2-concentration would still increase.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Häfele, W. (Program Leader): 1981, “Energy in a Finite World: A Global Systems Analysis”. Report by the Energy Systems Program Group of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. Ballinger, Cambridge, Massachussetts, 1981. Chapter 4: “Energy and Climate”.
Fortak, H.G.: 1980, in: “Interactions of Energy and Climate”, W. Bach, J. Pankrath and J. Williams (Eds), pp. 383–399, Proceedings of an International Workshop held in Munster, 3–7 March 1980, Reidel Publishing Co., Dordrecht, Holland.
Flohn, H.: 1979, in: “Man’s Impact on Climate”, W. Bach, J. Pankrath and W. Kellogg (Eds), pp. 15–29, Proceedings of an International Conference held in Berlin, 14–16 June, 1978, Elsevier Scientific Publishing Company, Amsterdam-Oxford-New York.
Jüntgen, H., Van Heek, K.H., Duerrfeld, R., Feistel, P.P.: 1975, in: “Nuclear Energy Maturity”, P. Zaleski (Ed. i.e.), pp. 120–127, vol. 9, Proceedings of the European Nuclear Conference held in Paris, 21–25 April 1975, Pergamon Press, Paris.
Teggers, H.: 1975, in op. cit. (4), pp. 113–119.
Häfele, W.: op.cit (1), Chapter 22: “New Old Technologies”.
Kernforschungsanlage Jülich GmbH: 1977, “Angewandte Systemanalyse Nr 1”, Die Entwicklungsmöglichkeiten der Energiewirtschaft in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland - Untersuchung mit Hilfe eines dynamischen Simulationsmodells, Band I. Jül-Spez-1/Bd. 1, November 1977, ISSN 0343 - 7639.
Häfele, W.: op.cit. (1), Chapter 17: “Energy Supply and Conversion”.
Freyer, H.D.: 1979, in: “The Global Carbon Cycle”, B. Bolin, E.T. Degens, S. Kempe and P. Ketner (Eds), pp. 79–95, SCOPE 13, John Wiley and Sons, Chichester.
Hampicke, U.: 1980, in op. cit. (2), pp. 149–169.
Niehaus, F.: 1977, “Computersimulation langfristiger Umweltbelastung durch Energieerzeugung”. ISR 41, Birkhauser-Verlag, Basel.
Keeling, C.D.: 1980, in op. cit. (2), pp. 129–149.
Niehaus, F.: 1976, “A Non-Linear Eight-Level Tandem Model to Calculate the Future CO2 and C-14 Burden to the Atmosphere”. RM-76-35, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, May 1976.
Niehaus, F., and Williams, J.: 1979, J. Geophys. Res. 84 (C6), pp. 3123–3129.
Keeling, C.D., Bacastow, R.B., Bainbridge, A.E., Ekdahl, C.A., Jr., Guenther, P.R., and Waterman, L.S.: 1976, Tellus, 28, pp. 538–551.
Report of the Study of Critical Environmental Problems (SCEP) “Man’s Impact on the Global Environment”, MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachussetts, 1970.
Budyko, M.: 1969, Tellus 21, pp. 611–619.
Manabe, S.: 1971, in: “Man’s Impact on the Climate”, W.H. Mathews, W.W. Kellogg and G.B. Robinson (Eds), pp. 242–264, MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachussetts.
Mitchell, J.: 1970, in: “Global Effects of Environmental Pollution”, S.F. Singer (Ed.), pp. 139–155, D. Reidel Publishing Comp., Dordrecht, Holland.
Schäfer, H.: 1980, in op. cit. (2), pp. 483–495.
Voss, A.: 1977, “Ansätze zur Gesamtanalyse des Systems Mensch-Energie-Umwelt”, ISR 30, Birkhäuser-Verlag, Basel.
Voss, A., und Niehaus, F.: 1977, “Die Zukunft des Weltenergiesystems”. Umschau 77 (1977), 19, pp. 625–632.
Niehaus, F.: 1979, in op. cit. (3), pp. 285–297.
Augustsson, T., and Ramanathan, V.: 1977, J. Atmos. Sci. 34, pp. 448–451.
Baes, C.F., Jr., Beall, S.E., Lee, D.W. and Marland, G.: 1980, in op. cit. (2), pp. 495–521.
Bolin, B.: 1981, The carbon cycle. This volume.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1981 D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Niehaus, F. (1981). The Impact of Energy Production on Atmospheric CO2-Concentrations. In: Berger, A. (eds) Climatic Variations and Variability: Facts and Theories. NATO Advanced Study Institutes Series, vol 72. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-8514-8_36
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-8514-8_36
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-94-009-8516-2
Online ISBN: 978-94-009-8514-8
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive