Abstract
The astronomical theory argues that long-term variations of the earth’s orbital parameters are the fundamental cause of the succession of ice ages during Quaternary or even earlier geological periods. Substantial improvements in observational and theoretical works have been made during the last decades allowing to test this theory against Pleistocene records. Recent objective comparison in the time and frequency domains between ice-volume, paleotemperature and insolation curves strongly support it. Related physical models are also able to reproduce past climate variations in agreement with well-dated geological records. Assuming no human interference, some models with orbital forcing predict that the general cooling that began 6000 YBP will continue, with a first moderate cold peak around 5000 YAP and major coolings about 23 000 YAP and 60 000 YAP.
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Berger, A.L. (1981). The Astronomical Theory of Paleoclimates. In: Berger, A. (eds) Climatic Variations and Variability: Facts and Theories. NATO Advanced Study Institutes Series, vol 72. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-8514-8_29
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-8514-8_29
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