The Future of Second-Trimester Abortion Throughout the World

  • Malcolm Potts

Abstract

Questions regarding the future of abortion practices in the world can be divided into two categories:
  • Assertions based on abortion patterns in general, which can be made with some degree of confidence

  • More speculative propositions relating to factors that often are difficult to predict, such as changes in technology, patterns of social relationships, or political emphasis

There are strong reasons to conclude that the total number of induced abortions will increase in the remaining years of the twentieth century as the number of women at risk for pregnancy and the pressures to restrict fertility increase. The number of fertile, sexually active women will continue to rise, particularly in continents such as Asia and Latin America where half or more of the population presently is still below the age of marriage and can be expected to enter the years of maximum fertility just before the end of the twentieth century. On the basis of current projections, the number of women aged 15 to 44 in the United States will increase from 51 million in 1980 to 52.5 million in the year 2000, or only 2.9%. In Bangladesh, on the other hand, the corresponding increase will be from 20 to 34.5 million, an increase of 74% (Table 26-1). Since the majority of the women included in these projections are presently alive, the total number in either case cannot be altered extensively by any foreseeable changes in birthrates.

Keywords

Europe Income Egypt Indonesia Folk 

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. 1.
    Westoff CF: The unmet need for birth control in five Asian countries. Int Fam Plann Perspect. 4:9, 1978.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  2. 2.
    Hong SB, Watson WB: The role of induced abortion in fertility control in Korea. Clinical Proceedings IPPF, SEOR Congress: 115, 1972.Google Scholar
  3. 3.
    Freedman R, Hermalin A, Sun TH: Fertility trends in Taiwan. Population Index 38:141, 1972.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. 4.
    Muramatsu M: An analysis of factors in fertility control in Japan. Bull. Inst Public Health, Tokyo, 19:97, 1970.Google Scholar
  5. 5.
    Requena M: Abortion in Latin America, in Hall RE (ed): Abortion in a Changing World, vol 1, New York, Columbia University Press, 1970, p 338.Google Scholar
  6. 6.
    Potts M, Diggory P, Peel J: Abortion. New York, Cambridge University Press, 1977.Google Scholar
  7. 7.
    Westoff CF, Potter RG, Sagi PC: The Third Child. Princeton, Princeton University Press, 1963.Google Scholar
  8. 8.
    Mohr JC: Abortion in America. New York, Oxford University Press, 1978.Google Scholar
  9. 9.
    Rentoul RR: The Causes and Treatment of Abortion. Edinburgh, Pentland, 1889.Google Scholar
  10. 10.
    Narkavonkit T: Personal communication, 1979.Google Scholar
  11. 11.
    Ottensen-Jenson O: Legal abortion in Sweden: 36 years’ experience. J Biosoc Sci. 3:197, 1973.Google Scholar
  12. 12.
    Edstrom K: Techniques of induced abortion, their health implications and service aspects: a review of the literature. Bull. WHO 57:481, 1979.PubMedGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© Gary S. Berger, William E. Brenner and Loius G. Keith 1981

Authors and Affiliations

  • Malcolm Potts

There are no affiliations available

Personalised recommendations