Are there chances, and if so, what are they? These are still contentious questions. Like Salmon, I believe that there are chances, but I disagree with him about what they are. We do agree on some points, principally that chance is a species of objective probability, namely physical or statistical probability. Some thinkers have claimed to discern another species in this genus, namely the relational probability that inductive logic treats of. I doubt the claim: inductive probabilities are, I suspect, all descended from chances. Certainly most are, so chance is anyway the right species to study first. Whether it exhausts the genus is a question we can afford to leave open.
True Belief Inductive Logic Inductive Probability Dutch Book Bayesian Decision Theory
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