Skip to main content

Large and Persisting Public Sector Deficits: Short-Term Demand Thrust and Long-Term Policy Implications

  • Chapter
Government Policies and the Working of Financial Systems in Industrialized Countries

Part of the book series: Financial and Monetary Policy Studies ((FMPS,volume 9))

  • 52 Accesses

Abstract

The aim of this paper is two-fold: first to deal with some conceptual issues in determining the appropriate measure of the public sector1) balance and second, but much less fully, to consider in what circumstances an increased deficit, appropriately defined, would be likely to lead to a fall rather than a rise in aggregate effective demand.

The views expressed represent those of the author and not those of his employer. He is particularly indebted to Christopher Allsopp and Peter Stanyer for allowing him to draw on some of their ideas and statistical calculations.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Allsopp, C.J. 1981, “The Economics of Public Borrowing”, paper presented to Bank of England Panel of Academic Consultants, (November), unpublished mimeo.

    Google Scholar 

  • Artis, M., 1978, “Fiscal Policy and Crowding Out”, in M.V. Posner (Ed.) Demand Management, Heinemann, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Artus, J.R., 1977, “Measures of potential output in manufacturing for eight industrial countries, 1955–78”, IMF Staff Papers, XXIV (March), 1–35.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bank of England, 1980, Memorandum to Treasury and Civil Service Committee of House of Commons, in Memoranda on Monetary Policy Session 1979–80, HMSO London, 1980, 17–34.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bank of England, 1982, “North Sea oil and gas–costs and benefits”, Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, 22 (1), 56–73.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barro, R.J., 1974, “Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?”, Journal of Political Economy, 82 (6), 1095–118.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buiter, W.H., 1982, “Money, Deficits, Crowding out and Inflations The Economic Foundation of the MTFS”. Paper presented at the Conference of Monetary Policy, Financial Markets and the Real Economy, International Center for Monetary and Banking Studies, Geneva (June).

    Google Scholar 

  • Buiter, W.H., 1983, “Measurement of the public sector deficit and its implications for policy evaluation and design”, IMF Staff Papers, XXX (2), 306–49.

    Google Scholar 

  • Downton, C.V., 1977, “The trend of the national debt in relation to national income”, Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, 17 (3), 319–24.

    Google Scholar 

  • Flemming, J.S., 1982, “UK Macro-Policy Response to Oil Price Shocks of 1974–75 and 1979–80”, European Economic Review, 18, 223–234.

    Google Scholar 

  • H.M. Treasury, 1982, “The ”National Debt“ and public sector debt”, Economic Progress Report, 147 (July), 1–6.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hacche, G. and Townend, J.C., 1981, “Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy: Modelling Sterling’s Effective Exchange Rate, 1972–80”, Oxford Economic Papers, 33 (July Supplement), 201–47.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hibbert, J., 1983, Measuring the Effects of Inflation on Income, Saving and Wealth. Report prepared for OECD and SOEC, OECD, Paris.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hicks, J.R., 1946, Value and Capital: An Inquiry into Some Fundamental Principles of Economic Theory, ( 2nd Ed. ), OUP, Oxford.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jump, G.V., 1980, “Interest Rates, Inflation Expectations and Spurious Elements in Measured Real Income and Saving”, American Economic Review, 70(5), 990–1,004.

    Google Scholar 

  • Laury, J.S.E., Lewis, G.R. and Ormerod, P.A., 1978, “Properties of Macroeconomic Models of the UK Economy: A Comparative Study”, National Institute Economic Review, 83 (February).

    Google Scholar 

  • Middleton, P.E., Mowl, C.J., Odling-Smee, J.C. and Riley, C.J., 1979, “Monetary Targets and the Public Sector Borrowing Requirement”, City University, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miller, M.H., 1982, “Inflation adjusting the public sector financial deficit: measurement and implications for policy”, in The 1982 Budget, ed. J. Kay, Institute of Fiscal Studies, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Price, R.W.R. and Chouraqui, J.C., 1983, “Public Sector Deficits: Problems and Policy Implications”, OECD Occasional Studies (June).

    Google Scholar 

  • Reid, D.J., 1977, “Public Sector Debt”, Economic Trends, 283 (May), 100–9.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sargent, T.J. and Wallace, N., 1981, “Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic”, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 5 (Fall), 1–17.

    Google Scholar 

  • Siegel, J.J., 1979, “Inflation-induced Distortions in Government and Private Saving Statistics”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 61 (1), 83–90.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1984 Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, Dordrecht

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Threadgold, A. (1984). Large and Persisting Public Sector Deficits: Short-Term Demand Thrust and Long-Term Policy Implications. In: Fair, D.E., de Juvigny, F.L. (eds) Government Policies and the Working of Financial Systems in Industrialized Countries. Financial and Monetary Policy Studies, vol 9. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-6204-0_7

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-6204-0_7

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-94-009-6206-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-94-009-6204-0

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics