Abstract
Studying plaice and waterfowl populations respectively, Petersen and Lincoln independently developed a marking method from which the total population may be estimated (Le Cren, 1965). This was based on the principle that if a proportion of the population was marked in some way, returned to the original population and then, after complete mixing, a second sample was taken, the number of marked individuals in the second sample would have the same ratio to the total numbers in the second sample as the total of marked individuals originally released would have to the total population. As the first three quantities were known the latter could easily be calculated. This method has been extensively developed and provides the major alternative absolute method to those based on the count of animals within a fixed unit of the habitat; it has the advantage that its accuracy does not depend on an assessment of the number of sampling units in the habitat and, as has already been stressed (Chapter 1), it is a wise practice to use more than one method simultaneously. There are also certain other methods of estimating a population that depend on the presence of marked individuals, but use a different principle to the Lincoln Index. A comprehensive survey of these methods is provided by Seber (1973).
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Southwood, T.R.E. (1978). Absolute Population Estimates using Marking Techniques. In: Ecological Methods. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-5809-8_3
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