Abstract
The rates of global and regional temperature changes due to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations are estimated using a multibox, upwelling-diffusion climate model. The model is also used to estimate how these changes might be perturbed by changes in deep water formation rate. The results are interpreted in a palaeoclimatic context and it is shown that the magnitude and rapidity of observed late-glacial changes in climate are compatible with large shifts in the rate of formation of North Atlantic Deep Water.
Keywords
- Climate Sensitivity
- North Atlantic Deep Water
- Deep Water Formation
- Abrupt Climatic Change
- Increase Carbon Dioxide
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsPreview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Atkinson, T.C., Briffa, K.R. and Coope, G.R., 1985. Reconstruction of late-glacial climates from Coleoptera using the mutual climatic range method, Abstracts and reports from the conference on Abrupt Climatic Change, Biviers, France. Scripps Institution of Oceanography Reference Series 86–8, 56–59.
Broecker, W.S., Peteet, D.M. and Rind, D., 1985. Does the ocean-atmosphere system have more than one stable mode of operation? Nature, 315: 21–26.
Coope, G.R, 1985. Evidence from insect fossils for sudden and intense climatic changes during the last 45,000 years, Abstracts and reports from the conference on Abrupt Climatic Change, Biviers, France, Scripps Institute of Oceanography Reference Series 86–8, 90–92.
Dickinson, R.E. and Cicerone, R.J., 1986. Future global warming from atmospheric trace gases, Nature, 319: 109–115.
Folland, C.K., Parker, D.E. and Kates, F.E., 1984. Worldwide marine temperature fluctuations, 1856–1981, Nature, 310: 670–673.
Hansen, J.E., Johnson, D., Lacis, A., Lebedeff, S., Lee, P., Rind, D. and Russell, G., 1981. Climatic impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide, Science, 213: 957–966.
Hansen, J.E., Lacis, A., Rind, D., Russell, G., Stone, P., Fung, I., Ruedy, R. and Lerner, J., 1984. Climate Sensitivity: Analysis of Feedback Mechanisms. In: J.E. Hansen and T. Takahashi (Eds.) Climate Processes and Climate Sensitivity (Maurice Ewing Series No. 5), American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C., 130–163.
Jones, P.D., Raper, S.C.B., Bradley, R.S., Diaz, H.F., Kelly, P.M. and Wigley, T.M.L., 1986a. Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature variations: 1851–1984, J. Clim. Appl. Met., 25: 161–179.
Jones, P.D., Raper, S.C.B, and Wigley, T.M.L., 1986b. Southern Hemisphere surface air temperature variations: 1851–1984, J. Clim. Appl. Met., 25: 1213–1230.
Jones, P.D., Wigley, T.M.L. and Wright, P.B. 1986c. Global temperature variations, 1861–1984, Nature, 322: 430–434.
MacCracken, M.C. and Luther, F.M., Eds., 1985. Projecting the Climatic Effects of Increasing Carbon Dioxide (DOE/ER-0237), U.S. Department of Energy, Carbon Dioxide Research Division Washington, D.C.
Neftel, A., Moor, E., Oeschger, H. and Stauffer, B., 1985: Evidence from polar ice cores for the increase in atmospheric CO2 in the past two centuries, Nature, 315: 45–47.
Schlesinger, M. and Mitchell, J.F.B., 1985. Model projections of the equilibrium climatic response to increased carbon dioxide. In: M.C. MacCracken and F.M. Luther (Eds.) Projecting the Climatic Effects of Increasing Carbon Dioxide (DOE/ER-0237), U.S. Department of Energy, Carbon Dioxide Research Division, Washington, D.C., 81–147.
Stauffer, B., Fischer, G., Neftel, A. and Oeschger, H., 1985. Increase of atmospheric methane recorded in Antarctic ice core, Science, 229: 1386–1388.
Watts, R.G., 1985. Global climate variation due to fluctuations in the rate of deep water formation, J. Geophys. Res., 90: 8067–8070.
Wigley, T.M.L., 1985. Carbon Dioxide, trace gases and global warming, Climate Monitor, 13: 133–148.
Wigley, T.M.L., Angell, J.K. and Jones, P.D., 1985. Analysis of the temperature record. In: M.C. MacCracken and F.M. Luther (Eds.), Detecting the Climatic Effects of Increasing Carbon Dioxide, (DOE/ER-0235), U.S. Department of Energy, Carbon Dioxide Research Division, Washington, D.C., 55–90.
Wigley, T.M.L., Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1986. Empirical climate studies. Warm world scenarios and the detection of climatic change induced by radiatively active gases. In: B. Bolin, B.R. Döös, J. Jäger, and R.A Warrick (Eds.) The Greenhouse Effect, Climatic Change, and Ecosystems, SCOPE 29, Wiley, 271–322.
Wigley, T.M.L. and Schlesinger, M.E., 1985. Analytical solution for the effect of increasing CO2 on global mean temperature, Nature, 315: 649–652.
W.M.O. (World Meteorological Organization), 1986. Report of the International Conference on the Assessment of the Role of Carbon Dioxide and of other Greenhouse Gases in Climate Variations and Associated Impacts. W.M.O. No. 661, Geneva.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1987 D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Jones, P.D., Wigley, T.M.L., Raper, S.C.B. (1987). The Rapidity of CO2-Induced Climatic Change: Observations, Model Results and Palaeoclimatic Implications. In: Berger, W.H., Labeyrie, L.D. (eds) Abrupt Climatic Change. NATO ASI Series, vol 216. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-3993-6_4
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-3993-6_4
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-94-010-8272-3
Online ISBN: 978-94-009-3993-6
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive